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I won't be posting my usual fundamental and technical analysis of the S&P 500's daily and weekly charts this weekend for a couple of reasons...The first is, we have family visiting from far away, and creating and posting my charts takes many hours...And secondly, what's the point?...
If you've been following my blog lately, I've been harping on how corrupt the market has become lately, and how much more difficult it is to predict near terms movements because of this...The mainstream media/propaganda machine and bogus government economic reports were in full force again this week...So it's no surprise that the market went UP!...Here is just one example of a bogus economic report put out by the gubbermint this week...The weekly jobless claims numbers were "estimated" because numerous states didn't report their numbers to the BLM because of the Labor Day holiday!...So what did the gubbermint do?...They LIED/FUDGED the numbers as usual:
Nine States Did Not File Initial Claims Data Due To Labor Day, Hundreds Of Thousands Of Estimates In Data "Beat"
So you can see that the powers that be are doing all they can to make the market rally again, even though there is no real reason for it to do so...IMO
And this article backs up everything I've been saying for months now...It took me a number of hours to read the entire story yesterday...And by that, I mean also reading every story included in it, because there are numerous links in this article that verify the paragraph written above it...These are the kinds of TRUTHS you will NOT hear from the mainstream media/gubbermint propaganda machine!...
In my humble opinion, this has to be one of the top ten articles I've read so far this YEAR!...And I highly encourage you to take the time and read the whole article, and also follow every link below every paragraph so you can verify that what the author has written is the TRUTH...
Please! SHARE this to all you Friends on numerous Social Media sites, using the "Bookmark" button below...
And also...Take a few moments out of your day to remember the thousands of lives lost in the attack on the World Trade Center that happened nine years ago today...September 11, 2001
If you've watched my last few updates on the market, you'll notice that I'm quite cynical when it comes to any economic report put out by the government (and I'm also very skeptical that earnings reports aren't continually being fudged. Just look at the recent SEC case against Dell as an example). This site gives you the REAL scoop when it comes to the government's reports of economic data...
And here is a PRIME example of what I'm talking about:
Nine States Did Not File Initial Claims Data Due To Labor Day, Hundreds Of Thousands Of Estimates In Data "Beat":
The BLS has announced that as a result of the Labor Day weekend, 9 states (among which the biggest one California) did not report initial claims data to the bean counters, so instead the government had to "estimate" what the data would have been
Claims of Recovery But Results Nowhere To Be Found:
A weekly excerpt from the subscription issue of The International Forecaster, taken from Bob Chapman's weekly publication.
Economists Cut U.S. Growth Forecast - AGAIN!:
Projected U.S. economic growth for the rest of this year and next was revised down for a third month in a row by a panel of about 50 economists.
Hell Yes It’s Class Warfare! Part 1:
There is an intentional misconception out there in the market place of talking points and political discussion – it is that liberals are waging class warfare on the wealthy.
The Wholly Fallible Ben Bernanke:
Despite three crucial errors at the Federal Reserve, its chairman is still revered as if he is the pope – while we pay the price.
In The Headlights:
The toils of summer are bygone now. The days grow shorter and America stands in the darkling road of its own prospects like a dumb animal frozen in the blinding light of approaching fury.
Death By Globalism:
Have economists made themselves irrelevant? If you have any doubts, have a look at the current issue of themagazine, International Economy, a slick publication endorsed by former Federal Reserve chairmen Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan, by Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, by former Secretary of State George Shultz, and by the New York Times and Washington Post, both of which declare the magazine to be “ahead of the curve.”
And finally, the winner of the "Doom and Gloom Award" goes to this piece, which I found to be a fascinating read...
Doomsdayers Not Cynical Enough:
[Like your editor, Rick’s Picks forum regular Wayne Razzi (aka “Red Will”) is a veteran floor-trader who grew up in South Jersey. When I asked him if he would like to contribute a guest commentary, I was not expecting the provocative tour de force that unfolds, step by step, below. In the essay, Will asserts nothing less that that the impending collapse of our economic system was meticulously engineered by financial and political sociopaths. Let me attest that his is not some whack-o conspiracy theory; rather, it is the closely-reasoned argument of a highly intelligent person who values truth sufficiently to have searched for it, in the form of an answer to a profoundly disturbing question, for many years. Judge for yourself whether his conclusions tally with your own thoughts as to why the American Dream is about to go bust. RA]
H.R. 5741 will give the president the authority “To require all persons in the United States between the ages of 18 and 42 to perform national service, either as a member of the uniformed services or in civilian service in furtherance of the national defense and homeland security, to authorize the induction of persons in the uniformed services during wartime to meet end-strength requirements of the uniformed services, and for other purposes.”
Barely a year after introducing H.R. 1444, which was supposed to form a “Congressional Commission on Civic Service to study methods of improving and promoting volunteerism and national service, and for other purposes”, Congress has upped the ante.
Anyone between 18 and 42 will be eligible for a two year commitment of civilian or military service.
With more college graduates working for the fast food industry, a depression era unemployment rate and less people retiring; the government will have plenty of eligible able bodies to move into the slave ranks.
This echos the sentiment of President Obama who asked Congress in Febuary 2009 to send him a bipartisan bill in the spirit of national service. His Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel outlined a similar plan in his book The Plan.
But even Emanuel aims low looking at only 18 to 25 year olds for three months of compulsory service. Under this new legislation nearly all, able bodied Americans will be sentenced to two years of forced labor.
The infrastructure is already in place for those unwilling to participate in mandatory service and now the army is looking to fill it’s ranks with Interment/Resettlement Specialists.
There are very few loopholes to opt of out national service, even CONSCIENTIOUS OBJECTORS (SEC. 109) will be forced to choose the mandatory option of A. noncombatant service (as defined by the President) or B. national civilian service. It seems the congressional commission on civic service will no longer be needed thanks to the hard work of a suspected Congressional tax cheat from New York.
The slavery bill is currently in debate in the House Committee on Armed Services chaired by Rep Ike Skelton a democrat from Missouri. Those who oppose mandatory slavery should contact Rep. Skelton. Many bills die in committee and this bill should meet the same fate.
America must decide what type of country it wishes to be, and then conform public and foreign policy to those ends, and not the other way around. Politicians have no right to subjugate the constitutional process of government to any foreign organization.
Secrecy, except in very select military matters, is repugnant to the health of a democratic government, and is almost always a means to conceal a fraud. Corporations are not people, and do not have the rights of individuals as such.
Banks are utilities for the rational allocation of capital created by savings, and as utilities deserve special protections. All else is speculation and gambling. In banking, simpler and more stable is better. Low cost rules, as excessive financialisation is a pernicious tax on the real economy.
Financial speculation, as opposed to entrepreneurial investment, creates little value, serving largely to transfer wealth from the many to the few, often by exploiting the weak, and corrupting the law. It does serve to identify and correct market inefficiencies, but this benefit is vastly overrated, because those are quickly eliminated. As such it should be allowed, but tightly regulated and highly taxed as a form of gambling.
When the oligarchy's enablers, hired help is the politer word, and assorted useful idiots ask, "But how then will we do this or that?" ask them back, "How did we do it twenty years ago?" Before the financial revolution and the descent into a bubble economy and a secretive and largely corrupted government with a GDP whose primary product is fraud.
Other nations, such as China, are surely acting for their own interests, and in many cases the interests of their people, much more diligently and effectively than the kleptocrats who are in power in Washington and New York these days. How then could we possibly subvert the Constitution and the welfare of the people to unelected foreign organizations? If this requires a greater reliance on self-sufficiency, then so be it. America is large enough to see to its own, as the others see to theirs.
Economics will not provide any answers in and of itself. Economics without an a priori policy and morality, without a guiding principle like the Constitution, is a heartless monster easily manipulated to say whatever one wishes it to say, if they are willing to pay enough economists to say it. Its reputation as a science is greatly exaggerated.
"Eliminating government" is a trap put forward by the plutocrats for those unable to reason except by prejudice, as they desire to exercise their power unimpeded by the rule of law. Once you knock down the protections and the safeguards in the name of reform, the wolves will turn on the public in an orgy of looting and exploitation. This is an old story, and sadly it often works.
Efficient markets hypothesis is almost as great a hoax as the benefits of globalization and 'free trade' have been to the American people as a whole. These things are promoted by the few, at the expense of the gullible many, for their own personal benefit.
Hatred, mean spiritedness, and resentment of the weak, the old, the different, is a trick played on the masses by oligarchs and would be dictators from time immemorial. They play to the darker side of the crowd. It is a trap, and the means to the demise of freedom. And these tricksters play it well, because deceit is their specialty, their stock in trade.
"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." - Mohandas K. Gandhi
So it will not be easy, and it is a mistake to think that it will be. But what greater task can we set ourselves to, other than justice and freedom for ourselves and children?
It’s the End of the World As We Know It:
By Phil of Phil’s Stock World
What are 308,367,109 Americans supposed to do?
First of all, despite clamping down on immigration, our population grew by 2.6M people last year. Unfortunately, not only did we not create jobs for those 2.6M new people but we lost about 4M jobs so what are these new people going to do? Not only that, but nobody is talking about the another major job issue: People aren’t retiring! They can’t afford to because the economy is bad – that means there are even less job openings… The pimply faced kid can’t get a job delivering pizza because his grandpa’s doing it.
There are some brilliant pundits who believe cutting retirement benefits will fix our economy. How will that work exactly? Pay old people less money, don’t cover their medical care and what happens? Then they need money. If they need money, they need to work and if they need to work they increase the supply of labor, which reduces wages and leaves all 308,367,109 of us with less money. Oh sorry, not ALL 308,367,109 – just 308,337,109 – the top 30,000 (0.01%) own the business the other 308,337,109 work at and they will be raking it in because labor is roughly 1/3 of the cost of doing business in America and our great and powerful capitalists have already cut their manufacturing costs by shipping all those jobs overseas, where they pay as little as $1 a day for a human life so now, in order to increase their profits (because profits MUST be increased) they have now turned inward to see what they can shave off in America.
How does one decrease the cost of labor in America?
Well first, you have to bust the unions. Check. Then you have to create a pressing need for people to work – perhaps give them easy access to credit and then get them to go so deeply into debt that they will have to work until they die to pay them off. Check. It also helps if you push up the cost of living by manipulating commodity prices. Check. Then, take away people’s retirement savings. Check. Lower interest rates to make savings futile and interest income inadequate. Check. And finally, threaten to take away the 12% a year that people have been saving for retirement by labeling Social Security an “entitlement” program – as if it wasn’t money Americans worked their whole lives to save and gave to the government in good faith. Check.
As Allen Smith says:
“Ronald Reagan and Alan Greenspan pulled off one of the greatest frauds ever perpetrated against the American people in the history of this great nation, and the underlying scam is still alive and well, more than a quarter century later. It represents the very foundation upon which the economic malpractice that led the nation to the great economic collapse of 2008 was built. Essentially, Reagan switched the federal government from what he critically called, a “tax and spend” policy, to a “borrow and spend” policy, where the government continued its heavy spending, but used borrowed money instead of tax revenue to pay the bills. The results were catastrophic. Although it had taken the United States more than 200 years to accumulate the first $1 trillion of national debt, it took only five years under Reagan to add the second one trillion dollars to the debt. By the end of the 12 years of the Reagan-Bush administrations, the national debt had quadrupled to $4 trillion!“
Both Reagan and Greenspan saw big government as an evil, and they saw big business as a virtue. They both had despised the progressive policies of Roosevelt, Kennedy and Johnson, and they wanted to turn back the pages of time. They came up with the perfect strategy for the redistribution of income and wealth from the working class to the rich. If Reagan had campaigned for the presidency by promising big tax cuts for the rich and pledging to make up for the lost revenue by imposing substantial tax increases on the working class, he would probably not have been elected. But that is exactly what Reagan did, with the help of Alan Greenspan. Consider the following sequence of events:
1) President Reagan appointed Greenspan as chairman of the 1982 National Commission on Social Security Reform (aka The Greenspan Commission)
2) The Greenspan Commission recommended a major payroll tax hike to generate Social Security surpluses for the next 30 years, in order to build up a large reserve in the trust fund that could be drawn down during the years after Social Security began running deficits.
3) The 1983 Social Security amendments enacted hefty increases in the payroll tax in order to generate large future surpluses.
4) As soon as the first surpluses began to role in, in 1985, the money was put into the general revenue fund and spent on other government programs. None of the surplus was saved or invested in anything. The surplus Social Security revenue, that was paid by working Americans, was used to replace the lost revenue from Reagan’s big income tax cuts that went primarily to the rich.
5) In 1987, President Reagan nominated Greenspan as the successor to Paul Volcker as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Greenspan continued as Fed Chairman until January 31, 2006. (One can only speculate on whether the coveted Fed Chairmanship represented, at least in part, a payback for Greenspan’s role in initiating the Social Security surplus revenue.)
6) In 1990, Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York, a member of the Greenspan Commission, and one of the strongest advocates the 1983 legislation, became outraged when he learned that first Reagan, and then President George H.W. Bush used the surplus Social Security revenue to pay for other government programs instead of saving and investing it for the baby boomers. Moynihan locked horns with President Bush and proposed repealing the 1983 payroll tax hike. Moynihan’s view was that if the government could not keep its hands out of the Social Security cookie jar, the cookie jar should be emptied, so there would be no surplus Social Security revenue for the government to loot. President Bush would have no part of repealing the payroll tax hike. The “read-my-lips-no-new-taxes” president was not about to give up his huge slush fund.
The practice of using every dollar of the surplus Social Security revenue for general government spending continues to this day. The 1983 payroll tax hike has generated approximately $2.5 trillion in surplus Social Security revenue which is supposed to be in the trust fund for use in paying for the retirement benefits of the baby boomers. But the trust fund is empty! It contains no real assets. As a result, the government will soon be unable to pay full benefits without a tax increase. Money can be spent or it can be saved. But you can’t do both. Absolutely none of the $2.5 trillion was saved or invested in anything.
That is how the largest theft in the history of the world was carried out.
300M people worked and saved their whole lives to set aside $2.5Tn into a retirement system that, if it were paying a fair compounding rate of 5% interest over 40 years of labor (assuming an even $62Bn a year was contributed), would be worth $8.4Tn today – enough money to give 100M workers $84,000 each in cash!
The looting of FICA hid the massive deficits of the last 30 years in the Unified Budget. Presidents and Congresses were able to reduce taxes on the wealthiest Americans without complaint from the deficit hawks, because they benefited. The money went directly from the pockets of average Americans into the pockets of the rich.
Now that it is time to repay those special bonds in the Trust Fund, we are inundated in opinion pieces in the leading newspapers and magazines complaining about Social Security and its horrible impact on the budget. Government finances have been trashed by foolish tax cuts, unpaid wars, tax loopholes for corporations and the very wealthy, the failures of economists, the greedy search for greater returns in financial markets and the collapse of moral values in giant businesses, but Social Security is supposed to be the problem that needs fixing…
Social Security is not “broken“–the money is in the Trust Fund. But the people who manage the finances of the United States don’t want to repay the bonds held by the Trust Fund. They want to default selectively against average people, their fellow citizens, who paid their taxes expecting to be protected in their retirement. Refusing to repay the $2.54 trillion dollars in bonds held by the Social Security Trust makes the US look like Greece, just another nation unable to govern itself coherently. The people who manage US finances come from the financial elites, the best that Wall Street and enormous corporations have to offer. Selective default exposes them as charlatans. The claims of the economics profession to expertise are puffery. Their theories about the benefits of tax cuts are proven false. Their mathematical proofs about free markets collapse in the real world.
So, what is this all about? It’s about forcing 5M people a year who reach the age 65 to remain in the work-force. The top 0.01% have already taken your money, they have already put you in debt, they have already bankrupted the government as well so it has no choice but to do their bidding. Now the top 0.01% want to make even MORE profits by paying American workers even LESS money. If they raise the retirement age to 70 to “balance” Social Security – that will guarantee that another 25M people remain in the workforce (less the ones that drop dead on the job – saving the bother of paying them severance).
What’s next? Is it fair to say that children can’t work in a struggling family business? Isn’t it to everybody’s benefit that kids should be allowed to help out at the family store? That will be the next step towards turning America into a 3rd World country. The seemingly innocent concept of “letting” kids work will deprive another 5M people of paying jobs – throwing them out into the labor force as well and driving labor costs down even further.
There’s an expression that goes “give them an inch and they’ll take a yard.” The top 0.01% of this country have taken their inches and they are foreclosing on the yards and they will come for the rest of your stuff next. If you think you are “safe” from the looting of America, it is only because they haven’t gotten around to you yet. As I explained in “America is 234 Years Old Today – Is It Finished?” – the game is rigged very much like a poker tournament. The people at the top table don’t care how well you do wiping out your fellow players at the lower tables, they know they will get you eventually and your efforts to scoop up a pile of cash for yourself simply makes their job easier when they are ready to take it from you.
The average American is $634,000 in debt thanks to the efforts that Reagan and Greenspan put in motion 30 years ago and the richer you are, the more of that money is going to come out of your hide eventually and the more you lobby to make sure that the “rich” are not taxed unfairly, the less fair it will be to you because, no matter how rich you THINK you are, unless your income is measured in MILLIONS PER MONTH, you aren’t even close to the top 30,000.
No progressive tax? That means that people and corporations who make $1M PER DAY should pay no more tax than a person making $1M per year, right? Well that means that the $2.5M debt that your family of four owes will be paid by you over 2.5 years of labor while the $2.5M owed by your Billionaire competitor will be paid over a long weekend, after which he can turn his attention back to crushing your business by creating cheaper goods – maintaining profit margins by driving down local labor costs and outsourcing the rest.
It’s a new world, America, and you’d better get used to it – we were sold down the river on a slow boat to China long ago and we’re only just beginning to feel the first effects of waves that wash back to our own shores. The people who own the media don’t want CHANGE. That’s why you never hear this stuff in the MSM – things are going exactly according to plan and the old money crowd is playing a long, patient game and they already have most of the chips – the last thing they want is people questioning the system…
The following are some snippets from the most recent issue of the International Forecaster. For the full 40 page issue, please see subscription information below.
US MARKETS
As we have noted before the rage of 1789 in France cost the heads of 300,000 tormentors out of 30 million Frenchmen. The question that presents itself is will something like this occur again in our times.
We suppose it could, but we won’t know until it begins to happen. The most likely location for such an event is in Greece, which has already experienced major demonstrations and rioting.
There is no question that in many parts of the world people are disgruntled and in many cases enraged with their governments and particularly with the financial sector. Not only has the populace been defrauded, but also the fraud and deceit continue unabated. In Europe almost every country is or will be subjected to austerity programs. In America we have rage pointed at Wall Street, banking, corporate America and government. The Tea Party movement addresses that in a number of ways from a great cross section of Americans. They see the blatant corruption tearing their country, republic and democracy apart. They do not want capitalism torn apart by the Council on Foreign Relations, the Trilateral Commission, the Bilderbergers and the Illuminati. They do not want fascism, socialism and Communism shoved down their throats. They do not want any new world order or a one-world government. In all countries there is a faction of more than 10% of the population that are willing to sacrifice their lives to make sure that doesn’t happen. They have seen the 1980s S&L crisis where billions were stolen and few went to jail. The same was true with the failures of the 1990s and into the new century. We saw LTCM and no one went to jail and then Tyco, Enron, Qwest and WorldCom. Then there was Michael Milken and Drexel, Burnham Lambert. He was charged with almost 100 crimes, pled to six, paid a $2 billion fine, spent two years in jail and got to keep $1 billion for his crimes. Today he basks in luxury as a reward. Then came the biggest scam of all and that was the Madoff caper.
Financial crime by sociopaths is still flourishing. That is because our system of jurisprudence doesn’t work. We have one set of rules for connected Illuminist, another for common white-collar criminals and another set of rules for us. Is it any wonder that the public is outraged at such crime? George Soros, Illuminist, is held up as a shinning example of financial acumen. He was convicted of stock fraud in Paris, appealed and lost and was convicted in Hungry as well. Why is that never mentioned when he appears in interviews and on television? It is because his elitist group controls these venues. The same is true of Warren Buffett whose firm, Berkshire Hathaway, was convicted of a $300 million accounting fraud and paid a $100 million fine. As you can see no one hardly ever goes to jail and those who do are not connected Illuminists do end up in jail. There is essentially never any payback. All the CFTC and SEC want are the fines to cover their expenses and to expand their staffs, and they only act when forced too. There has been very little payback and the public rightly wants revenge. Thus far they have gotten little or nothing from their well compensated representatives and senators, who generally are crooks and malfeasants.
All this doesn’t go down very well with real unemployment of 22-3/8%, soon to be 23-3/4%. As the public stands in these unemployment lines they watch the Fed feed money to financial institutions, which they created out of thin air, and the debt of which these same unemployed are responsible for. The banks, brokerage houses and insurance companies are illegally kept from bankruptcy and with these same funds reap unbelievable profits. At the same time incompetent executives receive outrageous compensation. The public is deeply disturbed and well they should be. Is it any wonder that incumbents have a 27% approval-rating going into next November’s election? That is the lowest number since 1994. It is interesting that those in both major parties share the disappointment. On the other hand unemployment benefits have been extended to two years. We suspect with this gang in the White House, House and Senate, that those benefits could go on forever as our sovereign debt collapses, such as Greece’s did. Voters see no morality, representation and integrity in both houses. Payoffs and fraud flourish and no one seems to care whether they get caught or not. Grab as much as you can as fast as you can and sell your soul if necessary. Of course, the SEC and CFTC are nowhere to be found as they protect the crooks running Wall Street, in banking and in insurance. There is little incompetence - they are all in on it. Remember the connected elite never go to jail. They are fined and the shareholders pay the bill.
The financial industry is loaded with fraud and always has been. Can you imagine a banker making loans to the completely unqualified and using 70 to 1 leverage, when 9 times deposits is acceptable? Can you image rating agencies rating paper as AAA when in fact it is BBB? Then there are the 35% overvaluations of assets that lead to bank failures and no one goes to jail. This is serious crime and these crooks just walk away Scot-free. What a system. The Bernie Madoff’s flourish and have no remorse having stolen from little old ladies. He complains they threw money at me, what was I to do? Refuse it you scumbag.
How can any professional not express dismay when banks such as Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase never have trading losses. We did that for 25 years and they and we know that is impossible. Worse yet, 80% of their clients lost money. Those trading profits made up 93% of profits at Morgan Stanley as well. As a professional we know the only way that can be accomplished is by screwing your clients.
We can count in as well naked shorting, front running (flash trading), theft, money laundering, fraud and rules that let players neither admit nor deny and pay a fine.
This is what your financial system has come too. You are controlled by a group of criminals.
As a result of this outright criminality we are being led into one of two solutions – either a plunge into deflationary depression or a systemic crisis that is approaching three years in duration. The direction taken by the Federal Reserve, the banksters and Wall Street is yet to be determined. Our guess is the inflationary onslaught has only begun. We are well aware that M3, money and credit, over the past 15 months, has been reduced from growth of 18% to a negative of 5.9%. That and other things were done to head off inflation, which is currently 2% officially, but unofficially is 8%.
We announced that an inflationary depression had begun in February of 2009, some 16 months ago. The US represents about half of world GDP so what happens in America will affect the entire world. In three months America will have experienced three years of recession/depression, the longest and deepest financial and economic contraction since the 1930s. A year ago the economy was headed downward and had it not been for $800 billion in stimulus and an additional $1.5 trillion injection by the Fed, we would currently be far deeper into depression. That means that we are seeing the end of the effect of stimulus and if it is not repeated the economy will falter and slip into deflationary depression. Each time the Fed and in part Congress allows this to happen it takes a much greater amount of money, credit and fiscal stimulus to keep the economy in positive territory and therein lies the seeds of hyperinflation.
In the 1973-75 recession we saw inflation. That was followed by further stimulus provided again by the Fed, which culminated in the economic blow-off of 1981, which in turn was followed by high interest rates and a deflationary recession. These two events tell you recessions/depressions can be either inflationary or deflationary. Compounding the problem is the accumulation of sovereign government debt, which has been and will continue to grow exponentially. That certainly is inflationary, but worse yet is it cannot be paid back no matter how high taxes are raised.
We need not remind you of the real estate collapse that is still in progress and the incumbent bonds many of which are close to worthlessness. These are deflationary events that over the past three years they have been covered up, massive injections of money and credit. Deflation was offset, or more than offset by inflation. As a result many corporations are carrying two sets of books. One set contains the toxic waste the other set the better assets. This has caused terrible problems especially in the banking system. This is the prime reason so many banks have problems. Eighty-one have fallen this year and that figure will more than double before the year ends. This is why the Fed wants to take over the FDIC. Once the FDIC is out of money, if they are regulated by the Fed, all the Fed has to do is create more money out of thin air to guarantee deposits. At the same time the Fed will attempt to monopolize the banking system. They will allow weak banks to fail and others to be absorbed until there are only 5, 10 or 15 banks in the country.
The reason we do not as yet have hyperinflation is that banks that have borrowed $2 trillion are not lending it into the system; they are depositing those funds with the Fed. If banks start to increase lending then inflation will jump because the funds will no longer be sterile, they’ll have been monetized, or if you may, inflationized. Now you can understand part of the reason banks have reduced lending by more than 20%.
In the absence of increased bank lending we also have an M3, the supply of money and credit, which is now negative. In fact, at a record low. That means a deepening recession/depression and a lower stock market. A correction in all probability similar to 1973-75. Whether we will see higher oil prices, as we did then, remains to be seen. A Middle East war could provide that element. In fact, recently we said there would be negative GDP growth in the 3rd and 4th quarters due to the lack of stimulus of one kind or another. States are in a terrible fix and unless the federal government comes forth with aid many states will become insolvent. This would add to the downward spiral. The government will have to come to the aid of the states otherwise the system will collapse. That as well means massive layoffs to add to the already growing unemployment situation. The government will become the lender of last resort and a bankrupt. A latter day version of Atlas Shrugged. All the while the Fed is creating money out of thin air funding these bankrupts, as inflation climbs. Keep in mind that with the assistance of the Fed the nation would already be insolvent, save for its status of the dollar as a reserve currency. The dollar is in the process of being dismantled, so that our elitists can usher in a new world currency eventually. An example is Greece has a very real problem, that probably only default can solve. Greece has 1% of the problem the US has and that will be reflected in the falling value of the dollar not only versus other currencies, but most noticeably versus gold. In fact, for the past four years all currencies have fallen in value versus gold. In time all currencies will be sold in part to purchase gold. Gold is again becoming the currency standard for the world whether the elitists like it or not. The professionals, the markets, and the central bankers know this and cannot control it, as hard as they try. All the taps can be turned on at a moments notice, so hold back on your decisions on which way the central banks are going to go.
Over the last three years, the Federal Reserve has conjured up trillions of dollars of funny money in an attempt to breathe some inflation back into the economy. The attempt has cleared failed...
Now, it would appear, Britain has become the first country to throw in the towel on fiscal and monetary black magic. In effect, the country has decided to let deflation take its course, allowing the chips to fall where they may. In the essay below, Cameron Fitzgerald, a frequent contributor to the Rick’s Picks forum, takes a close look at the decision and what it will mean not only for Britain, but the world. He concludes with a list that spells out what to expect, and the kind of pain we will experience as the world’s financial system comes very slowly back into balance in the years ahead. If his predictions are borne out, the standard of living is about to fall sharply for billions of people around the world.
David Cameron's new Government in England announced Tuesday that it will introduce austerity measures to begin paying down the estimated one trillion (U.S. value) in debts held by the British Government. Lets let that sink in for a moment, for it is a stunning announcement. Now repeat it: England will introduce austerity measures in order to eliminate the deficit and begin paying down the national debt. And that being said, we have just received the signal to an end to global stimulus measures -- one that puts a nail in the coffin of the debate on whether or not Britain would “print” her way out of the debt crisis. That would have virtually guaranteed an eventual hyperinflation that would have spread to all Western nations, destroying the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency in the process and ending several hundred years of Western economic dominance.
This is actually a celebratory moment although it will not feel like it for most. But wait. The U.S. did not say it would pay down its debts. And anyway, everyone knows that debt pile is too large to ever be repaid. They are wrong. And the U.S. does not need to send any particular message at this time anyway. The U.S. has been in a deflationary spiral since 2006, having discovered that nothing, not even oil flooding the Gulf, a nuclear North Korea threatening war, campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq, nor threats that Israel might one day bomb Iran and shut down the oil pipe, can pump up energy prices enough to drive future inflation or save the economy the old-fashioned way. Not nearly enough to escape the gravity of the housing and asset collapse anyway.
Out of Ammo
We have run out of the ammo of cynicism and old-style politics. Debts will have to be paid. Creditor arrangements will be made, concessions granted, standards of living will decline and countries will be sent to the table to bargain in a cooperative effort to resolve credit imbalances. There will be horse-trades, payments out of key commodities and access granted where previously it has been denied. There will be recovery eventually and it is a better future than what a hyperinflation would bring us all. And yes, the bills will be settled. Time to rejoice.
To my way of thinking, the U.S. will not, cannot, resort to regular debt monetization, printing press economics or the eventual and guaranteed destruction of their currency, economy and way of life before attempting first to harness what appear to be insurmountable debts and obligations. Particularly if European nations and England (first among them) begin taking serious steps toward fiscal discipline and bringing in measures of restraint. Many will argue against my theory. They will all be wrong. And so the English have opted to go with the devil they know. They have chosen a path that means their economy will contract, perhaps significantly. Where unemployment will surge as public sector layoffs and the elimination of programs are required to harness the debt bomb are enacted and all spending is carefully scrutinized, fleshed away, even eliminated.
Minimal Safety Net
Everything could conceivably be on the chopping block short of core government services, social service spending, basic medical services, pensions and the safety net itself. The debt is just so big that nothing less than all the efforts of Government and the cooperation of the majority of the public in accepting restraint will allow it to work. But what does this mean in the wider picture when one of the leading members of the G8 has deliberately chosen the path that signals a deflationary trend? Possibly even bringing on a global depression as an outcome of that choice?
As I said, the English have chosen the devil they know, and that is economic contraction. The last serious bout they experienced on that front was of course during the 1930's and again following the Second World War, but over the years Britain has seen many recessions. Some were deep, and folks may recall the Maggie Thatcher days of fiscal restraint, elimination of public programs and a sell-off to the private sector of everything from coal mines to railways and airlines.
Hyperinflation ‘Devil’
The devil the British does not know is hyperinflation -- not up-front, ugly and in their faces, anyway, but only anecdotally from the experience of others. No major modern economy in the West has ever hyperinflated. The exception, Germany, did so only under duress brought on by destructive and debilitating reparations following the First World War. Nobody wants a repeat of that. So this is actually a relatibrly safe move from that standpoint.
Those other nasty outcomes are already too well-known from readings of the history books out of the Weimar Republic. A complete destruction of the currency there resulted from ill-conceived “fixes” followed by a total failure of the financial, investment, banking and insurance systems. Printing press solutions led to widespread public misery and hunger. Bond and debt defaults were manifest and eventually the worst insult was when the country was saddled by an inability to borrow and rebuild following its confidence crisis. Last came radicalism and political instability as the people demanded solutions to all their problems.
Social Collapse Possible
We know too that hyperinflation can lead to chaos and social disorder. Nor is social collapse out of the question under that scenario -- particularly with so many people dependent on our existing system, and as the population ages and becomes more dependent on fewer folks of working age. No Brit wants that either. No Brit Government could survive it. The debt must be paid and the burden of that pain will be shared by all. It is the right decision. But at a high cost.
I think it is worth it. The likes of Russia, India, Brazil and China have been working in concert to develop an alternative world reserve currency, buying up gold in earnest, ostensibly to back their claim with real wealth under IMF auspices and the terms of Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). Success will give them the kind of collective bargaining power that until now has gone automatically to the U.S. because of the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency.
So, will we just sit back, punish our creditors through an inflationary default and thus hand them the power and influence to control a new and developing reserve currency; or will we defend our position, pay off our debts fairly (or by concessions) and retain the rights we hold dear? Let’s first ask ourselves the following question: Why must hyper-inflation be the only alternative to deflation? Answer: Because governments all over the globe have already tried stimulating their way out of the recent credit crisis and recession to little avail. They have attempted fruitlessly to generate even mild inflation despite huge stimulus efforts and pointless spending. All they have to show for it is massive additional debt and an unfolding currency time-bomb.
No Buying Our Way Out
Clearly, we cannot buy our way out our debt burden. It is that simple. It has been tried and it does not work. We cannot dig our way out of a hole either. So instead, consumption, the driver of our Western economies, remains sluggish at best, real estate is badly overpriced almost everywhere and personal indebtedness is strangling the middle classes while unemployment continues to rise and the tax burden and obligations grow by the day. It is an unsustainable exercise that will not end well. We now know it will not work, cannot work and won't likely be tried again in any significant way except by insane self-serving governments and those that have just run out of creative solutions. It is time to just pony up and pay the piper. This is simply the better (and only reasonable) solution to all the alternatives. But it will mean a long, slow and deliberate winding down until solvency is within reach. It will mean cities, states and counties will go bankrupt and not be rescued.
And it will be painful. Public spending will be cut. Consumption could decline precipitously. Unemployment numbers may skyrocket and bankruptcies will stun readers of daily blogs like this one. It will put the brakes on growth around the world. Oil prices will fall along with the prices of most other commodities. Gold could soar while food costs rise as a relative percentage of daily expenditures. The Dow will crash and there will be ripple effects across the European union and eventually the globe. Hardest hit will be major exporting nations like China and India who depend on Europe and the Americas for their bread and butter income. Aid programs to the Third world will be gutted, and I cannot yet imagine the consequences that will bring to the poorest people on earth.
Announcement ‘No Coincidence’
The significance of the decisions announced Tuesday will impact every nation on earth. And this is not happening in a vacuum, nor is the timing of the announcement just weeks prior to the G8 and G20 meetings coincidental. The statements made today are designed to lead and they will. The EU is also attempting to bring spending and fiscal controls to its member states. Greece is only the first to face the specter of a declining standard of living, much higher taxes and interest rates, controls imposed from outside its borders, and seriously reduced government spending. But the idea proposed now by the Cameron Government has real traction and will gain momentum. Britain is signing on voluntarily and has done so before, its back is to the wall and no good options other than strategic default. I applaud them.
And the idea will spread. But with a twist this time: Instead of protectionist stances between governments, there will be more free-trade arrangements implemented. Access to markets will open, not close. Canada itself is undertaking to establish a major trade agreement now with the European Union that would include among other things greater labor mobility and freedom from past employment barriers between the partners. Structural change is in the air too. It will also be in the interests of all nations to cooperate and not enter into conflicts or trade wars.
This Is the Big One
Anyone who thinks that the massive debts piled up by governments can be discharged easily while we go through a mild recession is flat-out wrong. This is the big one. Markets may respond positively at first, but then that sinking feeling will bring on some very bearish sentiments. This could well occur over the next few weeks. A major global economic contraction will without a doubt take the steam off almost all stocks as reality begins to set in. This is the expected outcome. It will come as a big surprise, though, to all who were certain that uncontrolled spending, stimulus and debt monetization would be the solution chosen by governments to satisfy the electorate. While spoiled and self absorbed, the electorate is not stupid. They will get on board with a solid plan if it is presented in a way that assures them their core interests are protected and offers hope and a better future.
A major reckoning is now a foregone conclusion. The word reset comes to mind -- and then a long, slow grind from the depths of debt insanity, followed perhaps by an agonizing return to prosperity and economic health. A decade may well be too optimistic a time frame to bring balance back to the old world and economies of the West. Let's get used to it. We are all in this one together.
So deflation it is. It will come to Canada eventually, too, so let’s start having a real debate about what that will look like and get familiar with the idea. We have already experienced stark restraint in this country in a program that was masterfully crafted by Jean Chretien and Paul Martin in the 1990's. Sanity was brought back to this country after three hard years of belt tightening. But this next phase will be a much more bitter pill to swallow. We need to look to our leadership to guide us through the crisis as it unfolds. The inflationist's camp can now leave the room because none of us can stand to hear their anguished cries, angry foot-stomping and teary, selfish objections. So pathetic.
What to Expect
Here is a very short list of what can be expected -- and trust me, this is a much more palatable list than the ones I have analyzed involving an unthinkable and devastating hyperinflation. So put away the placards and protest signs. We all need to get on board with paying down debt like any responsible citizen debtor would do. We owe big-time and this is but a taste of how it may cost us:
*Major employment reductions amongst those working in the public service
*Health care services that are rationed. Fewer nurses, health practitioners and support staff
*Larger class sizes in schools and large reductions in the number of teaching positions
*Reduced public pensions and benefits, including social service payments
*Interest rates that will gradually rise and eventually settle at around six percent
*Strikes, labor unrest and supply chain breakdowns
*Widespread unemployment affecting virtually every sector of the economy. None will be spared
*An expansion of public works programs, green initiatives
*Civil disobedience, arrests, targeting of threatening movements by security agencies and government
*Increasing taxation, particularly on the wealthy and buoyant businesses
*Shortages of all kinds and the loss of variety on store shelves
*An erosion in standards of living for most but particularly for those who are indebted
*Cutbacks in military spending, defense, coastal patrols and overseas engagements
*Cherished programs that Government usually support being completely eliminated
*Larger police forces, prison expansions and a judiciary that is strained to the breaking point
*Cities, states and counties denied bailouts, forcing them to bankrupt
*A reduction in services that protect the environment, animal rights and special interests
*Closures of universities
*The list could stretch on and on, but you get the picture.
It will be a very difficult and long-lasting correction that will purge waste and inefficiency from the system. Few will be happy, but the alternative is just too distressing to consider. The only thing that will give you true immunity in the mean time is a fat blanket of cash. Be sure to have some.
Be liquid. Pay off debts. Rejoice in your good decisions. And live free...
The Daily Bell - Friday, June 04, 2010 – by Staff Reporter
The Bilderberg group will convene in Sitges, Spain, a resort community 30 km from Barcelona, on June 4-7. ... Intending to prolong the global economic downturn for at least another year, the Bilderberg group hopes to take advantage of the situation to set up a "global ministry of finance" as a part of the UN. ... The debt crisis in Greece that currently puts in jeopardy the entire European financial system provides a pretext for drastic measures, and both the crisis and the measures are vivid illustrations of the strategy that employs chaos to reorder the existing arrangements. The deliberately generated chaos is tightly controlled by financial institutions, major banks, and hedge funds and serves as an efficient mechanism of governance and social restructuring. – Global Research
Dominant Social Theme: All is being decided, so calm down.
Free-Market Analysis: The Bilderberg group is meeting in Spain and unlike other years there has been relatively speaking a good deal of coverage of the meeting. We have already speculated that the reason has to do with the alternative 'Net press's relentless scrutiny. Thus, for the first time, the power elite has responded by placing some articles in the mainstream press as well.
The article, excerpted above, is certainly not "mainstream" but it is written by Olga Chetverikova and has a certain academic flair. The brief author bio at the end of the article describes Chetverikova as having a "Ph.D. in History," and explains she is "Assistant Professor at Moscow State Institute of Intentional Relations of the Foreign Ministry of the Russian Federation." Here's some more from the article:
EU mitigation measures are paving the way for the supranational institutions ... On May 21, the EU finance ministers adopted at a meeting chaired by European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet and European Council President H. Van Rompuy the German plan of much greater budgetary coordination including penalties for states that break the EU budgetary rules. The sanctions will include suspending the voting rights of repeat offenders, withholding the funding for infrastructural development, etc. It was also proposed to subject national budgets to EU screening prior to their being debated in national legislatures. A report will be prepared by June 17 – notably, the date of the EU summit – outlining a common Eurozone policy. Other, yet more ambitious projects like full control over Eurozone national budgets by a triumvirate comprising the European Commission, the European central bank, and the Euro Group are also discussed.
The downsides of the rescue packages are the worst part of the problem. Invoking the threat of financial collapse, the EU countries serially introduced extremely unpopular austerity regimes with salary and pension freezes for state employees, welfare cuts, increased retirement ages, etc. Greece was the first but not the only country affected. The German government plans to cut spending by Euro 10b annually in 2011-2016. France abolished the annual pension for low-income families. Under the IMF pressure, Spain is launching a comprehensive reform including pension indexing freeze, pay reductions and employment cuts in the state sector, the abolition of payments to support families with recently born children, etc. Great Britain, Italy, and others are following the lead.
The consequences of the measures are hard to gauge considering that Europe is already facing serious poverty and unemployment problems (the unemployment has reached 10% of the economically active population and continues to grow, and at least 80 mln people are currently below the poverty line). Most likely, the shadow world government – the Bilderberg group – will administer to the public the dose of social problems carefully calculated to enable the elites "to offload troubled assets", retain control over the situation, and divert protests from the actual sources of problems that trigger them.
We've been grappling ourselves with these suppositions. Hamlet-like we have considered and reconsidered whether the EU crisis was in a sense planned or if it was an inevitable evolution. These things are never clear cut from the outside; perhaps it doesn't matter in terms of our analysis. We are aware that the EU elite did eventually expect the EU to travel to this parlous point. However, we maintain, as we have in the past, that the current downturn and the scrutiny of the internet itself has made it a good deal harder for the elite – the real elite (not merely the political one) – to implement further centralizing measures without a good deal of pushback.
From out point of view the anger is intense and will build over time along with "austerity" measures. Interestingly, Chetverikova seems to agree with us somewhat. She writes, above: "The consequences of the measures are hard to gauge considering that Europe is already facing serious poverty and unemployment problems (the unemployment has reached 10% of the economically active population and continues to grow, and at least 80 mln people are currently below the poverty line)."
This is a crux point. Ordinarily, the economic downturn would be attributed to the failure of capitalism and the usual leftist/populist claptrap would be rolled out. But this time the power elite is making its bid for expanded world governance when awareness of the REAL mechanisms of control is at an all time high. We have not been able to understand the haste with which the elite has acted of late.
The best reasoning we can come up with is that the elite realizes what is obvious – that its control is slipping generally as insight into its manipulations rises. It's still strange. Ramming through centralizing measures at a time of such heightened sensitivity is only going to aggravate the situation in our opinion.
When one looks back on the 20th century these days, one is astonished to find – if one is an active reader of alternative Internet sites – that the history of the 20th century is increasingly to be seen as one of falsehoods and disguises. It was, after all, money power that perhaps created the Soviet Union, generated two world wars and a slew of minor ones and generally inflicted upon the globe waves of socialism, environmentalism and fiat-money disasters.
Because we have been reading Dr. John Coleman lately, we would tend to place a good deal of these events directly at the feet of the Rothschilds who evidently and obviously dominated the 20th century and much of the 19th as well. Even the Bilderberger meeting, itself, strikes us as a conference, to a degree for high-level functionaries. These may be asked for advice but are probably being told what is in store for them in the upcoming 12 months.
Certainly, the elite is an admixture of the specific families and individuals plus a few institutional (religious) power centers. But the Rothschild's money-power has likely grown precipitously to unbelievable of amounts as a result of the fiat-money mechanism. The result is that the real decisions are taken by a tiny handful with their own agenda and motives.
Being human, even the elite can miscalculate. Did the power elite move too fast in the teeth of a great communication revolution? We tend to believe the current downturns in the West are stronger and more intractable than was anticipated – and that the elite will have a harder time controlling them. We think various elite dominant social themes are misfiring and that keeping them running smoothly may be difficult.
Conclusion: Historian Chetverikova writes, "Most likely, the shadow world government – the Bilderberg group – will administer to the public the dose of social problems carefully calculated to enable the elites ... retain control over the situation, and divert protests from the actual sources of problems that trigger them." We are not so sure. We will continue to scrutinize the memes of the elite to see how they are being received and whether any of them are eroding further. By their conversations ye shall know them.
The spotlight remains on the Greek sovereign debt crisis as the riots continue. The terms of the Greek bailout from the IMF and Eurozone countries remain contentious with citizens on all sides. Europeans hate having their governments throw public money away as much as Americans do. The Greeks are not happy about having their taxes raised while their pensions and salaries are cut. Meanwhile, it is rumored by the Financial Times, AFP and others that Greece may spend more than it saves from austerity measures on arms deals with Germany, France and the US as a potential condition of receiving bailout funds. If true, it is certainly not unprecedented for the global military industrial complex to benefit from deals made by their friends in the central banking community. After all, war is the health of the state. The last thing big government proponents want is for peace to break out in the world.
This free flow of fiat money from around the globe to Greece will not really save Greece as much as it will grant a temporary reprieve to central bankers from the consequences of their mistakes. Sadly, this will come at the expense of the Greek people and taxpayers in Europe and America. Taxpayers are of no consequence to either European or American central bankers. Even the mere desire for complete information on what they are up to in our name is rebuffed, as we saw last week in the Senate with the failure of Senator Vitter's amendment containing my language to fully audit the fed. The hubris of powerful and secretive central bankers seems to know no bounds.
If someone incurred debts against you as an individual, without your knowledge or consent, you would call it identity theft. You would call your bank for a full accounting of the debts incurred in your name, and after some verification, those debts would be declared invalid and you would not be held responsible for them. Furthermore, if the culprit was found, they would be prosecuted and sent to jail.
Not so with governments and central banks. Governments that are supposed to be of the people and for the people routinely incur debts against the people. Some governments even borrow money to oppress their citizens, and then expect them to pay for their own oppression with interest. With a fiat monetary system, the sky is the limit for how much debt a government can place on the backs of the people.
We have reached the point in the United States where the debt our government has accumulated against us is mathematically impossible to pay off. Harder times, likely due to a wave of hyperinflation, will eventually find its way to our streets and I am fearful of how Americans will react. My hope is that we will come together peacefully and help each other, and that enough of us will be aware that the blame rests securely on the shoulders of the Federal Reserve and the special interests. They should not be looked to for salvation. They should not be given more power. Rather, they should be stripped of the powers that allowed them to create this mess in the first place.
Resistance to public transparency regarding public debts should be denounced in the strongest of terms, and the central bankers that incurred them should be seen as no better than common identity thieves.
The Canada Free Press
By Alan Caruba
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
It is almost beyond comprehension that Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) and Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I-CT) will introduce the Cap-and-Trade Act on Wednesday, May 12th, for consideration by the Senate.
It is being passed off as a “climate bill” with provisions for more oil drilling, but it is an assault on reality, on science, on common sense, and on any future economic growth of the nation.
The nation’s prisons are filled with men still claiming to be innocent after trials filled with evidence of their guilt. Denial of the truth is their last resort and this metaphor reflects what is happening in the utterly corrupt community of “global warming” liars and their associates in the U.S. government.
Recently 225 “scientists” wrote a letter defending global warming. It was published in the journal “Science”, one of the many such publications that have become as corrupt as those at the center of the global warming scam.
Based on last November’s leaked emails among those most responsible for the data at the heart of the global warming scam, it was revealed that the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had been systematically publishing false climate information and analysis.
Moreover, the photo used to illustrate the “scientists” letter was photo-shopped to show a polar bear on a small piece of ice surrounded by water. The deception included the fact that many of the signatories to the letter lack credibility. Among the first 20 listed, none work in the field of climate science.
As reported by Tony Hake of Climate Change Examiner, “Pediatric surgeons, an expert in the Maya and Olmec civilizations, a chemist that studies bacteria, and a ‘computer pioneer’ with Microsoft, an electrical engineer, the chairman of a biotechnology firm, and even an expert studying corn are but a few of the 225 experts that signed the letter.”
Dr. Gerhard Kramm, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, fired off a letter disputing the usual claim that human activity is causing carbon dioxide emissions that are, in turn, causing global warming. “Until today, there is no scientific evidence that an increase of the globally averaged near-surface temperature by less than one Kelvin during the last 160 years can be linked to the increase of the atmospheric concentrations of so-called greenhouse gases.”
There is no global warming. Whatever warming occurred followed the end of a mini ice age that began around 1350. Around 1850 the Earth’s temperature increased about one degree Fahrenheit to its current level.
The United Nations has been the locus of the greatest hoax perpetrated in the modern era, codified in the bogus Kyoto Protocol, an international agreement that many nations signed onto in1997. The Clinton administration signed the agreement, but did not implement it due to a Senate resolution that unanimously rejected it.
The real aim of the global warming scam is the prospect of selling “carbon credits” in exchanges around the world, in effect selling air!
Cap-and-Trade Act: Constitute the greatest tax on energy use in the history of the nation
If the Cap-and-Trade Act is passed at the urging of the Obama administration, it will constitute the greatest tax on energy use in the history of the nation and it will energize exchanges, such as the one in Chicago, set up to buy and sell the carbon credits.
As reported by Investor’s Business Daily on May 7, “The carbon trading system being pushed here has spawned crime and fraud across the pond. Cap-and-Trade is not about saving the planet. It’s about money and power, and absolute power corrupting absolutely.”
The European Emissions Trading System is a warning to America. IBD described it as “a scam built upon a scam.” British and German law enforcement authorities have been busy arresting miscreants “as part of a pan-European crackdown on carbon credit VAT tax fraud.” And VAT, a valued added tax, is being advanced in the United States as a way to raise money to pay off our ever increasing debt.
“Last December,” reported IBD, “Europol, the European criminal intelligence agency, announced that Emissions Trade System fraud had resulted in about five billion euros in lost revenues as Europe’s carbon traders schemed to avoid paying Europe’s VAT and pocket the difference. In announcing the raid, the agency said that as much as 90% of Europe’s carbon trades were the result of fraudulent activity.”
The entire global warming theory has been a scam, a hoax and a fraud from the day it was first put forth. Its advocates, corrupt scientists, corrupted science journals, and all of the environmental organizations are hoping the same Congress that foisted Obamacare on Americans will do the same with Cap-and-Trade.
The following article is the third-part of a six-part report titled: “The Financial Oligarchy Reigns: Democracy’s Death Spiral From Greece to the United States.” The full report is available here:
In the aftermath of Goldman Sachs’ public flogging before the world in Congress, and while under investigation, on the very day that Congress was voting on the “break up the too big to fail banks” amendment and cutting behind the scenes deals to gut the audit of the Federal Reserve, the stock market had its greatest sudden drop in history, plummeting 700 points in ten minutes - shades of September 29, 2008 all over again.
If you recall, back in September ‘08, as Congress was voting down the first bailout, the big banks made the market plunge a record 778 points in one day, fear and panic then led Congress to pass the bailout. Trillions of our tax dollars, the money that we desperately need to keep our society functioning over the long run, then went out the window and into the pockets of the very people who caused the crash.
What happened on September 29, 2008 will go down in history as one of the greatest acts of terrorism ever.
9/29/08 proved that when you have so much power concentrated in the hands of a few, you can manipulate a computer algorithm and make the market and economy go which ever way you want it to go. So on 5/6/10, just as the power of the big banks was threatened again on the floor of the Senate and a deal on auditing the Federal Reserve was being negotiated, in came a sudden and unprecedented ten-minute 700 point market drop. A precision-guided High Frequency Trading (HFT) attack to show Congress who’s boss.
If you think the massive sudden drop happened because one lowly trader hit one wrong button, if you actually believe that the entire stock market can plunge because of one mistaken key stroke by a low level trader, you are stunningly naïve. I hate to burst your bubble, but this was a direct attack.
In a market where 70% of all trades are executed by computer algorithms via High Frequency Trading (HFT), Goldman Sachs has the power to make the market crash or rise at will. In fact, Goldman has a major Weapon of Mass Destruction in its Program Trading monopoly of the New York Stock Exchange, as Tyler Durden described on Zero Hedge:
“Goldman’s dominance of the NYSE’s Program Trading platform, where in addition to recent entrant GETCO, it has been to date an explicit monopolist of the so-called Supplementary Liquidity Provider program, a role which affords the company greater liquidity rebates for, well providing liquidity, and generating who knows what other possible front market-looking, flow-prop integration benefits. Yesterday [5/6/10], Goldman’s SLP function was non-existent. One wonders - was the Goldman SLP team in fact liquidity taking, or to put it bluntly, among the main reasons for the market collapse….
… here is the most recently disclosed NYSE program trading data….
What is notable here is that of the 1.4 billion in principal shares, or shares traded for the firm’s own account, Goldman was the top trader by a margin of over 100% compared to the second biggest program trader.
We have long claimed that Goldman is the de facto monopolist of the NYSE’s program trading platform. As such, it is certainly the case that Goldman was instrumental in either a) precipitating yesterday’s crash or b) not providing the critical liquidity which it is required to do, when the time came. There are no other options.”
For further investigation, I turned to Max Keiser, who has written and authored similar Program Trading and HFT computer algorithms. I asked him if he thought this was an attack, here is what he had to say:
“May 6th was an unequivocal act of domestic financial terrorism in America. A day that will live in infamy.
To scare the lawmakers, themselves large owners of the very banks and stocks that they are supposed to be regulating, a financial Weapon of Mass Destruction was put to their head and they acquiesced.
As the inventor of the continuous double-auction, market-making technology (VST tech. US pat. no. 5950176) that is referenced 132 times by program trading and HFT patents since 1996, I can tell you that Goldman, JP Morgan and the gang simply pulled the ‘buys’ from their computer trading programs and manufactured a crash. And when the coast was clear, and it was clear the politicians were not going to vote for anything that would break up the ‘too big to fail’ banks; all the ’sells’ were pulled from the computers and the market roared back.
This is a Manchurian Candidate market where program trading bots start the ball rolling in whatever direction Wall St. wants the market to go - and then hundreds of thousands of day-traders watching Cramer on CNBC jump on the momentum bandwagon and commit the crime for the Wall St. financial terrorists, who then say, ‘It wasn’t us, it was ‘the market!’”
On Friday, the next day, after the “break up the too big to fail banks” amendment was soundly defeated by a 61 to 33 margin in Senate and a deal was struck to eliminate key provisions from the audit of the Federal Reserve bill, Goldman was meeting with the SEC to work out a settlement in their case against them. Once again, Goldman proves that crime pays. Welcome to the New Mafia World Order.
Other than the two major operations carried out on 9/29/08 and 5/6/10, we must also recall a smaller attack on January 21st and 22nd of 2010, when Obama had a press conference and came out in favor of the Volcker Rule, which would have limited these HFT and “proprietary trading” schemes. At that time, the market dropped 430 points. Soon after this attack, all follow up talk on the Volcker Rule faded away and this reform has not been seriously addressed by Obama since then.
The bottom line, the United States has been taken over by a financial terrorism network. Let’s face it, we are all hostages of these financial terrorists and our puppet politicians rather be in on the scam than defend our interests. If these terrorists don’t get their way at all times, they have the power to throw their tremendous weight around and turn millions of lives upside down in a matter of minutes, and as they have shown they have no hesitation in executing that power, no matter how many millions of lives they destroy.
They set off this crisis with a wave of bombings in their initial Economic Shock and Awe campaign two years ago, resulting in massive devastation. Just to name a few of their greatest hits within the U.S.:
* 50 million Americans are now living in poverty, which is the highest poverty rate in the industrialized world;
* 30 million Americans are in need of work;
* Five million American families foreclosed upon, 15 million expected by 2014;
* 50% of US children will now use a food stamp during childhood;
* Soaring budget deficits in states across the country and a record high national debt, with austerity measures on the way;
* Record-breaking profits and bonuses for themselves.
Like other terrorists, they don’t use IEDs, they use CDOs. They don’t use precision laser-guided missiles, they use High Frequency Trading. They don’t have WMDs, they have derivatives. Let’s also not forget that they have toxic assets and dirty debt bombs just waiting to be deployed upon the American public once there is any true growth in the economy. Their nuclear arsenal includes hundreds of Trillions in secretive derivatives and hidden debt bombs, just ticking away, waiting to be set off… at their whim...
America stays afloat selling billions of American dollars and Treasuries to our Chinese sugar daddy to keep our faltering consumer economy alive.
On May 1, China popped the cork on Expo 2010 in Shanghai, a months-long international celebration signifying the ascension of the city, and thereby its parent nation, as a global economic and cultural powerhouse. Meanwhile, in the United States, China's economic and cultural power has come under mounting fire.
Short-happy hedge funder Jim Chanos, who prophesied the fall of Enron, argued in April that the country's heated property market was on a "treadmill to hell." Foreign Policy followed suit by more or less blaming China's alleged currency manipulation, rather than America's own corporate and economic malfeasance, for exporting unemployment to the United States. Even our President Barack Obama jumped on the dogpile, expressing concern that China has not moved its currency to a "more market-oriented exchange rate," during an April meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao in Washington. His administration stopped short, however, of releasing an April 15 report to Congress expressing this disapproval in concrete terms, choosing instead to trot out the disgraced deregulationist Larry Summers to soothe the Chinese that such matters will be taken up at future gatherings.
For its part, China has responded to the finger-pointing by the United States with its own middle digit.
"We oppose the practice of finger-pointing among countries or strong-arm measures to force other countries to appreciate currencies," Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said in March, before restating his well-publicized 2009 worries that U.S. Treasuries are in trouble. "In the press conference last year, I said I was a bit concerned about it. This year, I make the same remark. I am still concerned. I hope the U.S. will take concrete measures to assure its investors."
Good luck with that, China. From resilient wage and unemployment stagnation to revelations of investment banks like Goldman Sachs selling "shitty" bundles of toxic mortgages to national and international suckers with one hand while clandestinely shorting them with the other, the United States is in no position to assure investors of anything. Which is why they've taken lately to crowing about China, rather than settling their own business at home. That business includes, of course, selling billions of American dollars and Treasuries to our Chinese sugar daddy to keep our faltering consumer economy alive.
"China holds about $820 billion U.S. dollars, and about $480 billion is in U.S. Treasuries," Stefan Halper, senior fellow at the Cambridge Centre of International Studies and author of the new book The Beijing Consensus, told AlterNet by phone. "China would not take steps to decrease the value of the dollar, because that would decrease the value of its own holdings. China doesn't want to bring the dollar down or the U.S. economy down, but it is benefiting from American consumers, who buy its exports. which represents about 60 percent of its economy per year."
Halper is firmly in the camp of those who are tagging China as a currency manipulator. In The Beijing Consensus, he argues that the rising 21st century superpower is suppressing the yuan, exporting unemployment and even standing in the way of America's lagging recovery from the global recession. In the process, Halper writes, China is also exporting its overall philosophy of economics and governance at the expense, pardon the pun, of our own.
"Beyond everything else that China sells to the world, it functions as the world's largest billboard for the new alternative of 'going capitalist and staying autocratic,'" Halper explains in The Beijing Consensus. "Beijing has provided the world's most compelling, high-speed demonstration of how to liberalize economically without surrendering to liberal politics."
Of course, he admitted, China couldn't have done it alone. America was more than happy, drunk on deregulation and war, to dig its own grave.
"The disastrous involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan have just depreciated the American story and the American example," Halper told AlterNet. "You can look at the Pew data: There has been rising disapproval of the U.S. since Bush put us into those two wars. Plus, the Washington Consensus proved not to be a good form of Third World development, which opened the door to Chinese offers of low-interest loans and non-interference. So yeah, we've done things poorly. We've had a recession, and an inability to regulate our markets. We're certainly not perfect."
That's probably the understatement of the new millennium. Viewed through that prism, the argument that our preeminent funder is somehow partially responsible for our own extensive economic troubles is disingenuous, even if esteemed economists like Paul Krugman have been sipping the blame-China Kool-Aid. What's gets lost in the financial wonkery -- or wankery, if you will -- is the fact that, through our own corruption and greed, we have willingly pushed nations into the arms of China rather than earn their trust. Through the misguided Washington Consensus, we and others tried and succeeded at establishing a rapacious list of interventionist measures -- concretized as "stabilize, privatize, and liberalize" by Harvard professor of international political economy Dani Rodrik -- since the 1990s that has ultimately culminated in our current lunacy. To argue at this late stage of the game that China is partially to blame for this is playing the kind of crappy defense that loses championships in pro sports. It shows, above all, that we have no game.
"China will make decisions in its own interests, just as the U.S. does," Rachel Ziemba, senior analyst for China and oil-exploring countries at Roubini Global Economics, told AlterNet. "It's actually in China's interest in the mid-term to have a more flexible exchange rate as it increases their monetary policy autonomy and could boost domestic purchasing power, helping domestic consumption. It also could help control domestic inflation. But domestic dictates, not U.S. pressure, will determine Chinese policy moves in this area. Chinese authorities are balancing different economic pressures, and an appreciation of the currency would increase the price of Chinese exports."
Like Halper, Krugman and more, Ziemba thinks that China is indeed a currency manipulator. "The pace of foreign-exchange reserve accumulation implies that the Chinese central bank is intervening heavily in the foreign-exchange market, implying that, yes, it is manipulating its currency."
In that, it's not very different than anyone else playing the currency game, including the United States. Except that it's deftly playing the pegging game -- to the dollar, then to a managed float in 2005, then back again to the dollar during the crisis -- for the benefit of its nation, rather than a select few banks, funds and other entities. It's in it to win it. For everyone, depending on who you ask.
"The bulk of China's foreign exchange reserves are recycled into dollar-based assets, which helps fund the massive U.S. savings shortfall," Morgan Stanley Asia's Stephen Roach wrote in a Council on Foreign Relations roundup called "Is China a Currency Manipulator?" "Who might deficit-prone Washington turn to if it shuts off the Chinese funding spigot? At a minimum, reduced buying by America's largest foreign lender would spell sharp downward pressures on the dollar and/or higher long-term U.S. interest rates -- developments that could well trigger the dreaded double dip in the U.S. economy."
In other words, China is keeping its eye on the prize -- its own economic and political survival -- while the rest of the world, from the United States to the European Union treads water. And why not? A modest accounting argues that China's economy expanded at over 10 percent in the first quarter of 2010. Meanwhile, U.S. real gross domestic product probably grew around 3 percent in the same period.
"We believe consumer spending is being buoyed by a variety factors that will not be maintained over the long term," Ethan Harris, chief North American economist for Merrill Lynch, told MarketWatch in late April. "Even with the recovery in net worth, households have essentially lost 15 years of saving."
"Many countries have imbalanced economic systems," Ziemba told AlterNet. "China's economy has low external debt, which is a big plus, but the contingent liabilities of the government have increased as bank loans have increased. Yet with deposits having climbed as much as loans, China's banking system is well capitalized."
In the final analysis, complaints about China's financial practices should be properly contextualized, especially when those lodging the complaints have done more to disrupt global financial practices than anyone else. Perhaps when those complainers have settled their own accounts -- with vampire squids like Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase, or the print-happy Federal Reserve Bank, or the Supreme Court that recently ruled that corporations possess the same rights as people -- then their whining about China's currency manipulation should be taken a bit more seriously. But not sooner.
"To the question of American excess and inability to regulate our financial markets, you're right," agreed Halper. "We have fallen down on that, and the Chinese have taken the opportunity to extol their model. But you've got compare China over time. What you see is two things: A rising middle class with a strong commercial material culture, and a highly repressive iron hand on the part of the central government. And that really is the most fascinating thing we see today. It's not classical communism. It's in business to perpetuate its own power, and we have to come to grips with it."
Sure, no problem. But only after we come to grips with the business of perpetuating our own power first. Change begins, after all, at home.
Every so often a philosophical dilemma becomes real. So it is today. For two thousand years, the message of Christ Jesus influenced and informed the West, if not in deed, then in word. Today, that is no longer so. Today, godless capitalism is threatening to supplant the two millennia reign of Christ's message of brotherly love - if not in word, then, certainly, in deed.
In times of great change, art reflects social and philosophical undercurrents. The movie, Avatar, is an example of this phenomenon as was the movie, Wall Street, in 1987. Gordon Gekko, Oliver Stone's protagonist in Wall Street probably didn't read much; but, if he did, a book such as A Utopia of Greed: Ayn Rand's Moral Defense of Capitalism could have been on his reading list.
One of Gordon Gekko's more memorable lines is Greed, for want of a better word, is good. Greed is good is also one of Ayn Rand's fundamental beliefs; and, if Karl Marx is the father of godless communism, Ayn Rand, America's premier doyenne of selfishness, is the patron saint of its antagonist, godless capitalism.
Alisa Rosenbaum was born in Russia in 1905 where she would later change her name to Ayn Rand. In her youth, she would become an atheist, a belief she would hold for the rest of her life. No other self-proclaimed atheist would achieve such a large following - except perhaps Karl Marx; additionally, no other writer would be as responsible for giving philosophical cover to the selfishness and greed that would later characterize American-style "laissez-faire" capitalism.
Ayn Rand saw selfishness and greed as virtues; and, to their later disgrace, so, too, did many others.
Ba'al: the Golden Calf of Capitalism Grows Up:
When Ayn Rand died in 1982, a six foot floral wreath in the shape of a US dollar was laid by her casket; a symbol that was to be ironically appropriate as Ayn Rand's death would precede the demise of the US dollar by only a few short decades.
Nothing exemplified the effect that Ayn Rand's philosophy would have on America as much as the movie, Wall Street. Released in 1987, it reflected the values that would be responsible for America's moral decline over the next 30 years. This 45 second clip from Wall Street is chillingly revelatory:
In September 2010, Oliver Stone's sequel to Wall Street, Money Never Sleeps, is scheduled for release with an older but still unrepentant Gordon Gekko. After the 1980s, greed did not go away in America - it flourished.
AYN RAND, GOLDMAN SACHS & GOD:
Nowhere was Ayn Rand's influence felt more than on Wall Street. The selfishness and greed that Ayn Rand exalted found a natural home among Wall Street banks, especially Goldman Sachs where Senior Partner Gus Levy succinctly summed up Goldman's strategy as long term greed. It was a mission statement Ayn Rand could be proud of.
It is incorrect, however, to attribute Wall Street's greed solely to Ayn Rand. Greed and selfishness existed long before she posited the two vices as virtues, just as free markets existed long before capitalism was illegitimately birthed in a manger of paper money at the Bank of England in 1694.
Ayn Rand's writings are nonetheless responsible for giving greed and selfishness the sheen of respectability they previously lacked, especially among the bespoke jackals that serve our currencies back to us in the form of loans.
In defense of today's bankers, Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein recently stated, We are doing God's work; and, so, they are, if capitalism's culling of the trusting, vulnerable and less fortunate is included in Blankfein's novel definition of God's calling.
[I] managed to sell a few [worthless] abacusbonds to widows and orphans that I ran into at the airport.. not feeling too guilty about this, the real purpose of my job is to make capital markets more efficient. email, 6/13/2007, Fabrice Tourre, vice-president Goldman Sachs
If it is God for whom Blankfein toils - at enormous compensation, i.e. $68 million in 2007 - it is not the God of the New Testament where Christ Jesus admonishes us to be our brother's keeper. It is the Hindu God, Shiva, the destroyer and transformer for whom Blankfein puts in overtime; and in that capacity he has done yeoman's work for which he is to be congratulated.
Goldman Sachs, more than any other bank, under Blankfein's leadership has played a central role in destroying capitalism, i.e. economies based on bankers' debt-basedcapital, a parasitoidal system bankers designed to indebt productivity and commerce for profit until society collapses.
PAPER MONEY - GOLD = PAPER
SHIVA'S DANCE OF CAPITAL DESTRUCTION:
While Lloyd Blankfein's contribution to capitalism's demise should not be minimized, capitalism's current problems actually began in 1971 when gold, one of the four essential ingredients in the bankers' brew of debt-based money, was eliminated from the classic formula that had served bankers and governments so well for so long.
Capitalism's recipe insures government's infinite growth as government access to central bank credit is unlimited and bankers will profit from loaning paper money into perpetuity.
When gold was removed from paper money in 1971, this simple yet powerful recipe for capitalism's success was fundamentally altered and so, too, would be capitalism. It would only be a matter of time until capitalism sans gold would falter.
Lloyd Blankfein, Robert Rubin, Lawrence Summers and Alan Greenspan et. al., individually and collectively, would only hasten the process. Lord Shiva's dance of capital destruction was already underway; because without gold, the illusion of paper money as money is only an illusion. Without gold, paper currencies are only coupons with expiration dates written in invisible ink.
To call capitalism a monetary system is a misnomer. It's a financial shakedown, a scheme whereby bankers profit by inserting debt into every aspect of human activity. Eventually, everyone becomes indebted beyond their capacity to repay and the system collapses.
The bankers' indebting of others eventually will end in their own demise, with governments, businesses, and consumers drowning in debt and banks insolvent. Capitalism is an economic parasitoid, a parasitic system where parasite and host both expire.
A parasitoid is an organism that spends a significant portion of its life history attached to or within a single host organism, which it ultimately kills (and often consumes) in the process. Thus they are similar to typical parasites except in the certain fate of the host. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parasitoid
As with all life-forms, parasitoids will do everything to insure their survival while blind to the fact it is their actions that will destroy them. Until its self-inflicted end, capitalism will struggle to survive and expand - and a part of that struggle is the bankers' war on gold.
THE WAR ON GOLD:
The IMF.. explicitly states in its Articles of Agreement that member countries are prohibited from tying their currencies to gold.
Gold Wars, Ferdinand Lips, The Foundation for the Advancement of Monetary Education, New York
In 2001, Ferdinand Lips published Gold Wars, his book that describes the bankers' ongoing war on gold. That Lips, a Swiss banker, would write such a book is to our benefit as the Swiss have a unique, historical, and deep respect for the monetary metal.
Curiously, Lips had earlier been an agent for the infamous Rothschild banking family. In 1968 he was co-founder and Managing Director of Rothschild Bank AG Zurich. As such, Lips had an insight into the world of gold that few had and some believe it would later cost him his life.
One story in Gold Wars is of particular interest as it involves John Exter, the extraordinary central banker (formerly vice-president in charge of international banking and gold and silver operations at the New York Federal Reserve), and Paul Volcker, later Fed chairman and erroneously believed by many to be a hero.
Exter's story shows Volcker in entirely different light, not as a hero but as the one responsible for the removal of gold from the monetary system. Volcker, according to Exter, played a central role in the decision to do so.
In Gold Wars (pp.76-77) John Exter tells Ferdinand Lips how the decision to demonetize gold was made: On August 10, 1971, a group of bankers, economists and monetary experts held an informal meeting... to discuss the monetary crisis. Around 3 o'clock in the afternoon, a big car rolled up with Paul Volcker in it. He was then Under-secretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs.
We discussed various possible solutions. As you would expect, I was for tight money - raising interest rates - but that was overwhelmingly rejected... As for raising the gold price, as I suggested, Volcker said it made sense, but he didn't think he could get it through Congress.
At one point, Volcker turned to me and asked what I would do. I told him that since he wouldn't raise interest rates and wouldn't raise the price of gold, he only had one option... he'd have to close the Gold Window... Five days later Nixon closed the Gold Window.
The final link between the dollar and gold was broken. The dollar became nothing more than a fiat currency and the Fed [and especially the banks] were then free to continue monetary expansion at will. The result... was a massive explosion of debt.
Paul Volcker, then, is the one who eliminated gold from capitalism's 300 year-old recipe for power and wealth. Karl Marx was right when he predicted that capitalism would destroy itself. We just didn't know it would be Paul Volcker who would pull the plug.
THE SLEDGEHAMMER THAT BROKE THE CAMEL'S BACK:
The explosion of debt allowed by Volcker's removal of gold in 1971 has now reached extraordinary levels. In 1971, US debt was $436 billion. Today, US government obligations exceed one hundred trillion dollars. Tethering the dollar to gold was the one constraint on US spending. Volcker eliminated that constraint thus enabling the US to indebt itself ad infinitum - and it did.
Debt, the inevitable effluvia of credit, is Shiva's final shiv in capitalism's back. But it is not the indebtedness of those the bankers indebted that are now causing capitalism's final paroxysms. It's the debts of the banker's themselves.
When US banking and financial interests repealed the Glass-Steagall Act, it reopened the doors to another depression, doors that had been sealed since the 1930s. Prior to its repeal in 1999, Congressman John Dingall (D-Mich) whose father helped write Glass-Steagall in 1933 warned:
What we are creating now is a group of institutions which are too big to fail... Taxpayers are going to be called upon to cure the failures we are creating tonight, and it is going to cost a lot of money, and it is coming.
Congressman Dingall's warnings were ignored by both republicans and democrats. The republican-sponsored bill to repeal Glass-Steagall was passed overwhelmingly in the House by both parties (362-57) and in the Senate (90-8) effectively enslaving America's future generations, gratis of a $300 million lobbying effort by banks and insurance companies.
The beauty of paper money is that it buys real power
Once again, both republicans and democrats sold out the nation's future and allowed banks to bet the savings of America, this time with obscene leverage of 40:1 and more. Not surprisingly when the banks bet the house and lost, the house collapsed.
Politicians can't be bought. They can only be leased.
When bankers couldn't cover their losses, governments came to their rescue and indemnified them with taxpayer money. But the trillions of dollars spent to rescue banks and restart capitalism's broken engine is not being levied on the banks. It's being levied on those who saved them. The current upsurge in sovereign debt is the cost of the bankers' crisis subsumed into national ledgers.
Recently, President Barack Obama went to Wall Street to ask for help in reforming the financial system. Asking Wall Street's help with financial reform is akin to Neville Chamberlain asking Hitler to assist in redrawing Europe's borders. The current effort is designed not to fix the system, but to continue it.
Avarice is never appeased. Greed is never satisfied and the fires that Ayn Rand inflamed will not subside until the house that fanned them and gave them shelter burns to the ground. The bankers have come too far to go back. There is only the road ahead - and it's a cliff.
SHIVA'S COMING MAKEOVER:
I end my articles with the words: buy gold, buy silver, have faith. Of the three, I believe faith to be the most important, the most valuable and the least understood. A strong and unwavering belief in an intellectual construct is not faith, though many believe it to be.
Faith is a knowing that we are one with our Source, despite all appearances to the contrary. Finding faith in a tautological matrix that creates its own reflection is not easy. Faith exists despite the world of appearances; despite maya; despite - and not because of - human ignorance.
In March 2007, I delivered my paper predicting a severe economic collapse to Marshall Thurber's Positive Deviant Network (the PDN) and the reaction was disbelief and anger except for the very few already invested in gold.
In 2008, one year later, after $6 trillion of worth had been stripped from global markets, the Positive Deviant Network was more predisposed to hear what I had to say. That February, I gave a talk to the PDN on what I believed to be the real reasons for the crisis. My talk, America at the Crossroads, can now be viewed on YouTube in four parts: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4xjKnATlxMY
At its birth, America embodied the highest hopes of mankind but is now a tragic caricature of those great ideals. As it enters the 21st century, America finds itself bankrupt morally as well as financially. Its ideals stood the test of time but America did not.
Two hundred years ago, Thomas Jefferson warned America about the dangers of private bankers and standing, i.e. permanent, armies. Fifty years ago, President Eisenhower warned America about the dangers posed by the emerging military-industrial complex; and ten years ago, Congressman Dingall warned America about the danger of repealing Glass-Steagall.
America was warned and America didn't listen. Now, the price must be paid. Shiva's dance of destruction and transformation is underway. The destruction comes first, the transformation comes next - but only if America first changes its ways.
It's coming to America first,
the cradle of the best and of the worst.
It's here they got the range
and the machinery for change
and it's here they got the spiritual thirst.
It's here the family's broken
and it's here the lonely say
that the heart has got to open
in a fundamental way
Democracy is coming... to the USA
--Leonard Cohen, 1984
Leonard Cohen's simply-stated truth - that the heart has got to open in a fundamental way - is the crucial prerequisite for America's transformation. During America's drive for self-aggrandizement, world dominion, corporate profits and billion-dollar bonuses, America lost its way - and lost touch with its heart in the process.
America is at a crossroads. It has already chosen. It'd best do so again.
What's the difference between a pendulum and a wrecking ball?
Sometimes nothing.