Showing posts with label SEC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SEC. Show all posts

Monday, July 19, 2010

Nothing Was Sacred: The Theft of the American Dream...




http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2010/07/phil-it-is-end-of-world-as-we-know-it.html

Posted by Jesse at 1:07 PM - July 17, 2010

America must decide what type of country it wishes to be, and then conform public and foreign policy to those ends, and not the other way around. Politicians have no right to subjugate the constitutional process of government to any foreign organization.

Secrecy, except in very select military matters, is repugnant to the health of a democratic government, and is almost always a means to conceal a fraud. Corporations are not people, and do not have the rights of individuals as such.

Banks are utilities for the rational allocation of capital created by savings, and as utilities deserve special protections. All else is speculation and gambling. In banking, simpler and more stable is better. Low cost rules, as excessive financialisation is a pernicious tax on the real economy.

Financial speculation, as opposed to entrepreneurial investment, creates little value, serving largely to transfer wealth from the many to the few, often by exploiting the weak, and corrupting the law. It does serve to identify and correct market inefficiencies, but this benefit is vastly overrated, because those are quickly eliminated. As such it should be allowed, but tightly regulated and highly taxed as a form of gambling.

When the oligarchy's enablers, hired help is the politer word, and assorted useful idiots ask, "But how then will we do this or that?" ask them back, "How did we do it twenty years ago?" Before the financial revolution and the descent into a bubble economy and a secretive and largely corrupted government with a GDP whose primary product is fraud.

Other nations, such as China, are surely acting for their own interests, and in many cases the interests of their people, much more diligently and effectively than the kleptocrats who are in power in Washington and New York these days. How then could we possibly subvert the Constitution and the welfare of the people to unelected foreign organizations? If this requires a greater reliance on self-sufficiency, then so be it. America is large enough to see to its own, as the others see to theirs.

Economics will not provide any answers in and of itself. Economics without an a priori policy and morality, without a guiding principle like the Constitution, is a heartless monster easily manipulated to say whatever one wishes it to say, if they are willing to pay enough economists to say it. Its reputation as a science is greatly exaggerated.

"Eliminating government" is a trap put forward by the plutocrats for those unable to reason except by prejudice, as they desire to exercise their power unimpeded by the rule of law. Once you knock down the protections and the safeguards in the name of reform, the wolves will turn on the public in an orgy of looting and exploitation. This is an old story, and sadly it often works.

Efficient markets hypothesis is almost as great a hoax as the benefits of globalization and 'free trade' have been to the American people as a whole. These things are promoted by the few, at the expense of the gullible many, for their own personal benefit.

Hatred, mean spiritedness, and resentment of the weak, the old, the different, is a trick played on the masses by oligarchs and would be dictators from time immemorial. They play to the darker side of the crowd. It is a trap, and the means to the demise of freedom. And these tricksters play it well, because deceit is their specialty, their stock in trade.

"First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, then you win." - Mohandas K. Gandhi

So it will not be easy, and it is a mistake to think that it will be. But what greater task can we set ourselves to, other than justice and freedom for ourselves and children?


It’s the End of the World As We Know It:

By Phil of Phil’s Stock World

What are 308,367,109 Americans supposed to do?



First of all, despite clamping down on immigration, our population grew by 2.6M people last year. Unfortunately, not only did we not create jobs for those 2.6M new people but we lost about 4M jobs so what are these new people going to do? Not only that, but nobody is talking about the another major job issue: People aren’t retiring! They can’t afford to because the economy is bad – that means there are even less job openings… The pimply faced kid can’t get a job delivering pizza because his grandpa’s doing it.

There are some brilliant pundits who believe cutting retirement benefits will fix our economy. How will that work exactly? Pay old people less money, don’t cover their medical care and what happens? Then they need money. If they need money, they need to work and if they need to work they increase the supply of labor, which reduces wages and leaves all 308,367,109 of us with less money. Oh sorry, not ALL 308,367,109 – just 308,337,109 – the top 30,000 (0.01%) own the business the other 308,337,109 work at and they will be raking it in because labor is roughly 1/3 of the cost of doing business in America and our great and powerful capitalists have already cut their manufacturing costs by shipping all those jobs overseas, where they pay as little as $1 a day for a human life so now, in order to increase their profits (because profits MUST be increased) they have now turned inward to see what they can shave off in America.



How does one decrease the cost of labor in America?

Well first, you have to bust the unions. Check. Then you have to create a pressing need for people to work – perhaps give them easy access to credit and then get them to go so deeply into debt that they will have to work until they die to pay them off. Check. It also helps if you push up the cost of living by manipulating commodity prices. Check. Then, take away people’s retirement savings. Check. Lower interest rates to make savings futile and interest income inadequate. Check. And finally, threaten to take away the 12% a year that people have been saving for retirement by labeling Social Security an “entitlement” program – as if it wasn’t money Americans worked their whole lives to save and gave to the government in good faith. Check.

As Allen Smith says:

“Ronald Reagan and Alan Greenspan pulled off one of the greatest frauds ever perpetrated against the American people in the history of this great nation, and the underlying scam is still alive and well, more than a quarter century later. It represents the very foundation upon which the economic malpractice that led the nation to the great economic collapse of 2008 was built. Essentially, Reagan switched the federal government from what he critically called, a “tax and spend” policy, to a “borrow and spend” policy, where the government continued its heavy spending, but used borrowed money instead of tax revenue to pay the bills. The results were catastrophic. Although it had taken the United States more than 200 years to accumulate the first $1 trillion of national debt, it took only five years under Reagan to add the second one trillion dollars to the debt. By the end of the 12 years of the Reagan-Bush administrations, the national debt had quadrupled to $4 trillion!“

Both Reagan and Greenspan saw big government as an evil, and they saw big business as a virtue. They both had despised the progressive policies of Roosevelt, Kennedy and Johnson, and they wanted to turn back the pages of time. They came up with the perfect strategy for the redistribution of income and wealth from the working class to the rich. If Reagan had campaigned for the presidency by promising big tax cuts for the rich and pledging to make up for the lost revenue by imposing substantial tax increases on the working class, he would probably not have been elected. But that is exactly what Reagan did, with the help of Alan Greenspan. Consider the following sequence of events:

1) President Reagan appointed Greenspan as chairman of the 1982 National Commission on Social Security Reform (aka The Greenspan Commission)

2) The Greenspan Commission recommended a major payroll tax hike to generate Social Security surpluses for the next 30 years, in order to build up a large reserve in the trust fund that could be drawn down during the years after Social Security began running deficits.

3) The 1983 Social Security amendments enacted hefty increases in the payroll tax in order to generate large future surpluses.

4) As soon as the first surpluses began to role in, in 1985, the money was put into the general revenue fund and spent on other government programs. None of the surplus was saved or invested in anything. The surplus Social Security revenue, that was paid by working Americans, was used to replace the lost revenue from Reagan’s big income tax cuts that went primarily to the rich.

5) In 1987, President Reagan nominated Greenspan as the successor to Paul Volcker as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. Greenspan continued as Fed Chairman until January 31, 2006. (One can only speculate on whether the coveted Fed Chairmanship represented, at least in part, a payback for Greenspan’s role in initiating the Social Security surplus revenue.)

6) In 1990, Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York, a member of the Greenspan Commission, and one of the strongest advocates the 1983 legislation, became outraged when he learned that first Reagan, and then President George H.W. Bush used the surplus Social Security revenue to pay for other government programs instead of saving and investing it for the baby boomers. Moynihan locked horns with President Bush and proposed repealing the 1983 payroll tax hike. Moynihan’s view was that if the government could not keep its hands out of the Social Security cookie jar, the cookie jar should be emptied, so there would be no surplus Social Security revenue for the government to loot. President Bush would have no part of repealing the payroll tax hike. The “read-my-lips-no-new-taxes” president was not about to give up his huge slush fund.

The practice of using every dollar of the surplus Social Security revenue for general government spending continues to this day. The 1983 payroll tax hike has generated approximately $2.5 trillion in surplus Social Security revenue which is supposed to be in the trust fund for use in paying for the retirement benefits of the baby boomers. But the trust fund is empty! It contains no real assets. As a result, the government will soon be unable to pay full benefits without a tax increase. Money can be spent or it can be saved. But you can’t do both. Absolutely none of the $2.5 trillion was saved or invested in anything.

That is how the largest theft in the history of the world was carried out.

300M people worked and saved their whole lives to set aside $2.5Tn into a retirement system that, if it were paying a fair compounding rate of 5% interest over 40 years of labor (assuming an even $62Bn a year was contributed), would be worth $8.4Tn today – enough money to give 100M workers $84,000 each in cash!

The looting of FICA hid the massive deficits of the last 30 years in the Unified Budget. Presidents and Congresses were able to reduce taxes on the wealthiest Americans without complaint from the deficit hawks, because they benefited. The money went directly from the pockets of average Americans into the pockets of the rich.



Now that it is time to repay those special bonds in the Trust Fund, we are inundated in opinion pieces in the leading newspapers and magazines complaining about Social Security and its horrible impact on the budget. Government finances have been trashed by foolish tax cuts, unpaid wars, tax loopholes for corporations and the very wealthy, the failures of economists, the greedy search for greater returns in financial markets and the collapse of moral values in giant businesses, but Social Security is supposed to be the problem that needs fixing…

Social Security is not “broken“–the money is in the Trust Fund. But the people who manage the finances of the United States don’t want to repay the bonds held by the Trust Fund. They want to default selectively against average people, their fellow citizens, who paid their taxes expecting to be protected in their retirement. Refusing to repay the $2.54 trillion dollars in bonds held by the Social Security Trust makes the US look like Greece, just another nation unable to govern itself coherently. The people who manage US finances come from the financial elites, the best that Wall Street and enormous corporations have to offer. Selective default exposes them as charlatans. The claims of the economics profession to expertise are puffery. Their theories about the benefits of tax cuts are proven false. Their mathematical proofs about free markets collapse in the real world.



So, what is this all about? It’s about forcing 5M people a year who reach the age 65 to remain in the work-force. The top 0.01% have already taken your money, they have already put you in debt, they have already bankrupted the government as well so it has no choice but to do their bidding. Now the top 0.01% want to make even MORE profits by paying American workers even LESS money. If they raise the retirement age to 70 to “balance” Social Security – that will guarantee that another 25M people remain in the workforce (less the ones that drop dead on the job – saving the bother of paying them severance).

What’s next? Is it fair to say that children can’t work in a struggling family business? Isn’t it to everybody’s benefit that kids should be allowed to help out at the family store? That will be the next step towards turning America into a 3rd World country. The seemingly innocent concept of “letting” kids work will deprive another 5M people of paying jobs – throwing them out into the labor force as well and driving labor costs down even further.

There’s an expression that goes “give them an inch and they’ll take a yard.” The top 0.01% of this country have taken their inches and they are foreclosing on the yards and they will come for the rest of your stuff next. If you think you are “safe” from the looting of America, it is only because they haven’t gotten around to you yet. As I explained in “America is 234 Years Old Today – Is It Finished?” – the game is rigged very much like a poker tournament. The people at the top table don’t care how well you do wiping out your fellow players at the lower tables, they know they will get you eventually and your efforts to scoop up a pile of cash for yourself simply makes their job easier when they are ready to take it from you.



The average American is $634,000 in debt thanks to the efforts that Reagan and Greenspan put in motion 30 years ago and the richer you are, the more of that money is going to come out of your hide eventually and the more you lobby to make sure that the “rich” are not taxed unfairly, the less fair it will be to you because, no matter how rich you THINK you are, unless your income is measured in MILLIONS PER MONTH, you aren’t even close to the top 30,000.

No progressive tax? That means that people and corporations who make $1M PER DAY should pay no more tax than a person making $1M per year, right? Well that means that the $2.5M debt that your family of four owes will be paid by you over 2.5 years of labor while the $2.5M owed by your Billionaire competitor will be paid over a long weekend, after which he can turn his attention back to crushing your business by creating cheaper goods – maintaining profit margins by driving down local labor costs and outsourcing the rest.

It’s a new world, America, and you’d better get used to it – we were sold down the river on a slow boat to China long ago and we’re only just beginning to feel the first effects of waves that wash back to our own shores. The people who own the media don’t want CHANGE. That’s why you never hear this stuff in the MSM – things are going exactly according to plan and the old money crowd is playing a long, patient game and they already have most of the chips – the last thing they want is people questioning the system…

http://www.philstockworld.com/2010/07/17/its-the-end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it/

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

The International Forecaster:


http://day-trading-the-stock-market.blogspot.com/

By: Bob Chapman - Posted Sunday, 13 June 2010

The following are some snippets from the most recent issue of the International Forecaster. For the full 40 page issue, please see subscription information below.

US MARKETS

As we have noted before the rage of 1789 in France cost the heads of 300,000 tormentors out of 30 million Frenchmen. The question that presents itself is will something like this occur again in our times.

We suppose it could, but we won’t know until it begins to happen. The most likely location for such an event is in Greece, which has already experienced major demonstrations and rioting.

There is no question that in many parts of the world people are disgruntled and in many cases enraged with their governments and particularly with the financial sector. Not only has the populace been defrauded, but also the fraud and deceit continue unabated. In Europe almost every country is or will be subjected to austerity programs. In America we have rage pointed at Wall Street, banking, corporate America and government. The Tea Party movement addresses that in a number of ways from a great cross section of Americans. They see the blatant corruption tearing their country, republic and democracy apart. They do not want capitalism torn apart by the Council on Foreign Relations, the Trilateral Commission, the Bilderbergers and the Illuminati. They do not want fascism, socialism and Communism shoved down their throats. They do not want any new world order or a one-world government. In all countries there is a faction of more than 10% of the population that are willing to sacrifice their lives to make sure that doesn’t happen. They have seen the 1980s S&L crisis where billions were stolen and few went to jail. The same was true with the failures of the 1990s and into the new century. We saw LTCM and no one went to jail and then Tyco, Enron, Qwest and WorldCom. Then there was Michael Milken and Drexel, Burnham Lambert. He was charged with almost 100 crimes, pled to six, paid a $2 billion fine, spent two years in jail and got to keep $1 billion for his crimes. Today he basks in luxury as a reward. Then came the biggest scam of all and that was the Madoff caper.

Financial crime by sociopaths is still flourishing. That is because our system of jurisprudence doesn’t work. We have one set of rules for connected Illuminist, another for common white-collar criminals and another set of rules for us. Is it any wonder that the public is outraged at such crime? George Soros, Illuminist, is held up as a shinning example of financial acumen. He was convicted of stock fraud in Paris, appealed and lost and was convicted in Hungry as well. Why is that never mentioned when he appears in interviews and on television? It is because his elitist group controls these venues. The same is true of Warren Buffett whose firm, Berkshire Hathaway, was convicted of a $300 million accounting fraud and paid a $100 million fine. As you can see no one hardly ever goes to jail and those who do are not connected Illuminists do end up in jail. There is essentially never any payback. All the CFTC and SEC want are the fines to cover their expenses and to expand their staffs, and they only act when forced too. There has been very little payback and the public rightly wants revenge. Thus far they have gotten little or nothing from their well compensated representatives and senators, who generally are crooks and malfeasants.

All this doesn’t go down very well with real unemployment of 22-3/8%, soon to be 23-3/4%. As the public stands in these unemployment lines they watch the Fed feed money to financial institutions, which they created out of thin air, and the debt of which these same unemployed are responsible for. The banks, brokerage houses and insurance companies are illegally kept from bankruptcy and with these same funds reap unbelievable profits. At the same time incompetent executives receive outrageous compensation. The public is deeply disturbed and well they should be. Is it any wonder that incumbents have a 27% approval-rating going into next November’s election? That is the lowest number since 1994. It is interesting that those in both major parties share the disappointment. On the other hand unemployment benefits have been extended to two years. We suspect with this gang in the White House, House and Senate, that those benefits could go on forever as our sovereign debt collapses, such as Greece’s did. Voters see no morality, representation and integrity in both houses. Payoffs and fraud flourish and no one seems to care whether they get caught or not. Grab as much as you can as fast as you can and sell your soul if necessary. Of course, the SEC and CFTC are nowhere to be found as they protect the crooks running Wall Street, in banking and in insurance. There is little incompetence - they are all in on it. Remember the connected elite never go to jail. They are fined and the shareholders pay the bill.

The financial industry is loaded with fraud and always has been. Can you imagine a banker making loans to the completely unqualified and using 70 to 1 leverage, when 9 times deposits is acceptable? Can you image rating agencies rating paper as AAA when in fact it is BBB? Then there are the 35% overvaluations of assets that lead to bank failures and no one goes to jail. This is serious crime and these crooks just walk away Scot-free. What a system. The Bernie Madoff’s flourish and have no remorse having stolen from little old ladies. He complains they threw money at me, what was I to do? Refuse it you scumbag.

How can any professional not express dismay when banks such as Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase never have trading losses. We did that for 25 years and they and we know that is impossible. Worse yet, 80% of their clients lost money. Those trading profits made up 93% of profits at Morgan Stanley as well. As a professional we know the only way that can be accomplished is by screwing your clients.

We can count in as well naked shorting, front running (flash trading), theft, money laundering, fraud and rules that let players neither admit nor deny and pay a fine.

This is what your financial system has come too. You are controlled by a group of criminals.

As a result of this outright criminality we are being led into one of two solutions – either a plunge into deflationary depression or a systemic crisis that is approaching three years in duration. The direction taken by the Federal Reserve, the banksters and Wall Street is yet to be determined. Our guess is the inflationary onslaught has only begun. We are well aware that M3, money and credit, over the past 15 months, has been reduced from growth of 18% to a negative of 5.9%. That and other things were done to head off inflation, which is currently 2% officially, but unofficially is 8%.

We announced that an inflationary depression had begun in February of 2009, some 16 months ago. The US represents about half of world GDP so what happens in America will affect the entire world. In three months America will have experienced three years of recession/depression, the longest and deepest financial and economic contraction since the 1930s. A year ago the economy was headed downward and had it not been for $800 billion in stimulus and an additional $1.5 trillion injection by the Fed, we would currently be far deeper into depression. That means that we are seeing the end of the effect of stimulus and if it is not repeated the economy will falter and slip into deflationary depression. Each time the Fed and in part Congress allows this to happen it takes a much greater amount of money, credit and fiscal stimulus to keep the economy in positive territory and therein lies the seeds of hyperinflation.

In the 1973-75 recession we saw inflation. That was followed by further stimulus provided again by the Fed, which culminated in the economic blow-off of 1981, which in turn was followed by high interest rates and a deflationary recession. These two events tell you recessions/depressions can be either inflationary or deflationary. Compounding the problem is the accumulation of sovereign government debt, which has been and will continue to grow exponentially. That certainly is inflationary, but worse yet is it cannot be paid back no matter how high taxes are raised.

We need not remind you of the real estate collapse that is still in progress and the incumbent bonds many of which are close to worthlessness. These are deflationary events that over the past three years they have been covered up, massive injections of money and credit. Deflation was offset, or more than offset by inflation. As a result many corporations are carrying two sets of books. One set contains the toxic waste the other set the better assets. This has caused terrible problems especially in the banking system. This is the prime reason so many banks have problems. Eighty-one have fallen this year and that figure will more than double before the year ends. This is why the Fed wants to take over the FDIC. Once the FDIC is out of money, if they are regulated by the Fed, all the Fed has to do is create more money out of thin air to guarantee deposits. At the same time the Fed will attempt to monopolize the banking system. They will allow weak banks to fail and others to be absorbed until there are only 5, 10 or 15 banks in the country.

The reason we do not as yet have hyperinflation is that banks that have borrowed $2 trillion are not lending it into the system; they are depositing those funds with the Fed. If banks start to increase lending then inflation will jump because the funds will no longer be sterile, they’ll have been monetized, or if you may, inflationized. Now you can understand part of the reason banks have reduced lending by more than 20%.

In the absence of increased bank lending we also have an M3, the supply of money and credit, which is now negative. In fact, at a record low. That means a deepening recession/depression and a lower stock market. A correction in all probability similar to 1973-75. Whether we will see higher oil prices, as we did then, remains to be seen. A Middle East war could provide that element. In fact, recently we said there would be negative GDP growth in the 3rd and 4th quarters due to the lack of stimulus of one kind or another. States are in a terrible fix and unless the federal government comes forth with aid many states will become insolvent. This would add to the downward spiral. The government will have to come to the aid of the states otherwise the system will collapse. That as well means massive layoffs to add to the already growing unemployment situation. The government will become the lender of last resort and a bankrupt. A latter day version of Atlas Shrugged. All the while the Fed is creating money out of thin air funding these bankrupts, as inflation climbs. Keep in mind that with the assistance of the Fed the nation would already be insolvent, save for its status of the dollar as a reserve currency. The dollar is in the process of being dismantled, so that our elitists can usher in a new world currency eventually. An example is Greece has a very real problem, that probably only default can solve. Greece has 1% of the problem the US has and that will be reflected in the falling value of the dollar not only versus other currencies, but most noticeably versus gold. In fact, for the past four years all currencies have fallen in value versus gold. In time all currencies will be sold in part to purchase gold. Gold is again becoming the currency standard for the world whether the elitists like it or not. The professionals, the markets, and the central bankers know this and cannot control it, as hard as they try. All the taps can be turned on at a moments notice, so hold back on your decisions on which way the central banks are going to go.

http://news.goldseek.com/InternationalForecaster/1276412400.php

Monday, May 10, 2010

High Frequency Terrorism: How the Big Banks and Federal Reserve Maintained Their Death Grip Over the United States:


By David DeGraw & Max Keiser, AmpedStatus Report
Posted on Monday, May 10th, 2010 at 1:11 am

http://ampedstatus.com/high-frequency-terrorism-how-the-big-banks-and-federal-reserve-maintained-their-death-grip-over-the-united-states

The following article is the third-part of a six-part report titled: “The Financial Oligarchy Reigns: Democracy’s Death Spiral From Greece to the United States.” The full report is available here:

http://ampedstatus.com/the-financial-oligarchy-reigns-democracys-death-spiral-from-greece-to-the-united-states

III: Financial Terrorism Operations: 9/29/08 & 5/6/10

In the aftermath of Goldman Sachs’ public flogging before the world in Congress, and while under investigation, on the very day that Congress was voting on the “break up the too big to fail banks” amendment and cutting behind the scenes deals to gut the audit of the Federal Reserve, the stock market had its greatest sudden drop in history, plummeting 700 points in ten minutes - shades of September 29, 2008 all over again.

If you recall, back in September ‘08, as Congress was voting down the first bailout, the big banks made the market plunge a record 778 points in one day, fear and panic then led Congress to pass the bailout. Trillions of our tax dollars, the money that we desperately need to keep our society functioning over the long run, then went out the window and into the pockets of the very people who caused the crash.

What happened on September 29, 2008 will go down in history as one of the greatest acts of terrorism ever.

9/29/08 proved that when you have so much power concentrated in the hands of a few, you can manipulate a computer algorithm and make the market and economy go which ever way you want it to go. So on 5/6/10, just as the power of the big banks was threatened again on the floor of the Senate and a deal on auditing the Federal Reserve was being negotiated, in came a sudden and unprecedented ten-minute 700 point market drop. A precision-guided High Frequency Trading (HFT) attack to show Congress who’s boss.

If you think the massive sudden drop happened because one lowly trader hit one wrong button, if you actually believe that the entire stock market can plunge because of one mistaken key stroke by a low level trader, you are stunningly naïve. I hate to burst your bubble, but this was a direct attack.

In a market where 70% of all trades are executed by computer algorithms via High Frequency Trading (HFT), Goldman Sachs has the power to make the market crash or rise at will. In fact, Goldman has a major Weapon of Mass Destruction in its Program Trading monopoly of the New York Stock Exchange, as Tyler Durden described on Zero Hedge:

“Goldman’s dominance of the NYSE’s Program Trading platform, where in addition to recent entrant GETCO, it has been to date an explicit monopolist of the so-called Supplementary Liquidity Provider program, a role which affords the company greater liquidity rebates for, well providing liquidity, and generating who knows what other possible front market-looking, flow-prop integration benefits. Yesterday [5/6/10], Goldman’s SLP function was non-existent. One wonders - was the Goldman SLP team in fact liquidity taking, or to put it bluntly, among the main reasons for the market collapse….

… here is the most recently disclosed NYSE program trading data….

What is notable here is that of the 1.4 billion in principal shares, or shares traded for the firm’s own account, Goldman was the top trader by a margin of over 100% compared to the second biggest program trader.

We have long claimed that Goldman is the de facto monopolist of the NYSE’s program trading platform. As such, it is certainly the case that Goldman was instrumental in either a) precipitating yesterday’s crash or b) not providing the critical liquidity which it is required to do, when the time came. There are no other options.”

For further investigation, I turned to Max Keiser, who has written and authored similar Program Trading and HFT computer algorithms. I asked him if he thought this was an attack, here is what he had to say:

“May 6th was an unequivocal act of domestic financial terrorism in America. A day that will live in infamy.

To scare the lawmakers, themselves large owners of the very banks and stocks that they are supposed to be regulating, a financial Weapon of Mass Destruction was put to their head and they acquiesced.

As the inventor of the continuous double-auction, market-making technology (VST tech. US pat. no. 5950176) that is referenced 132 times by program trading and HFT patents since 1996, I can tell you that Goldman, JP Morgan and the gang simply pulled the ‘buys’ from their computer trading programs and manufactured a crash. And when the coast was clear, and it was clear the politicians were not going to vote for anything that would break up the ‘too big to fail’ banks; all the ’sells’ were pulled from the computers and the market roared back.

This is a Manchurian Candidate market where program trading bots start the ball rolling in whatever direction Wall St. wants the market to go - and then hundreds of thousands of day-traders watching Cramer on CNBC jump on the momentum bandwagon and commit the crime for the Wall St. financial terrorists, who then say, ‘It wasn’t us, it was ‘the market!’”

On Friday, the next day, after the “break up the too big to fail banks” amendment was soundly defeated by a 61 to 33 margin in Senate and a deal was struck to eliminate key provisions from the audit of the Federal Reserve bill, Goldman was meeting with the SEC to work out a settlement in their case against them. Once again, Goldman proves that crime pays. Welcome to the New Mafia World Order.

Other than the two major operations carried out on 9/29/08 and 5/6/10, we must also recall a smaller attack on January 21st and 22nd of 2010, when Obama had a press conference and came out in favor of the Volcker Rule, which would have limited these HFT and “proprietary trading” schemes. At that time, the market dropped 430 points. Soon after this attack, all follow up talk on the Volcker Rule faded away and this reform has not been seriously addressed by Obama since then.

The bottom line, the United States has been taken over by a financial terrorism network. Let’s face it, we are all hostages of these financial terrorists and our puppet politicians rather be in on the scam than defend our interests. If these terrorists don’t get their way at all times, they have the power to throw their tremendous weight around and turn millions of lives upside down in a matter of minutes, and as they have shown they have no hesitation in executing that power, no matter how many millions of lives they destroy.

They set off this crisis with a wave of bombings in their initial Economic Shock and Awe campaign two years ago, resulting in massive devastation. Just to name a few of their greatest hits within the U.S.:

* 50 million Americans are now living in poverty, which is the highest poverty rate in the industrialized world;

* 30 million Americans are in need of work;

* Five million American families foreclosed upon, 15 million expected by 2014;

* 50% of US children will now use a food stamp during childhood;

* Soaring budget deficits in states across the country and a record high national debt, with austerity measures on the way;

* Record-breaking profits and bonuses for themselves.

Like other terrorists, they don’t use IEDs, they use CDOs. They don’t use precision laser-guided missiles, they use High Frequency Trading. They don’t have WMDs, they have derivatives. Let’s also not forget that they have toxic assets and dirty debt bombs just waiting to be deployed upon the American public once there is any true growth in the economy. Their nuclear arsenal includes hundreds of Trillions in secretive derivatives and hidden debt bombs, just ticking away, waiting to be set off… at their whim...

Saturday, May 8, 2010

Is Goldman Sachs the Anti-Christ?...


The Daily Bell
Saturday, May 08, 2010

http://www.thedailybell.com/1035/Goldman-Sachs-the-Anti-Christ.html

This debate is going to be crystallised in the Goldman case. Much of America is going to reflexively insist that Goldman's only crime was being smarter and better at making money than IKB and ABN-Amro, and that the intrusive, meddling government (in the American narrative, always the bad guy!) should get off Goldman's Armani-clad back. Another side is going to argue that Goldman winning this case would be a rebuke to the whole idea of civilisation – which, after all, is really just a collective decision by all of us not to screw each other over even when we can. It's an important moment in the history of modern global capitalism: whether or not to move forward into a world of greed without limits. – UK Guardian/Matt Taibbi
Dominant Social Theme: Goldman bad. Very bad.

Free-Market Analysis: We always have to start these articles off with the requisite nod to the fierce Gods of Ancient (and Modern) Days. So let's get it out of the way. Here goes ... Goldman is a horrible, smug, abusive institution with obvious ties to the power elite. It may indeed be the heart of darkness on Wall Street, the instrument through which the elite maneuvers as it plies its mercantalistic trade.

But the key word here is mercantilism. More than almost any other firm, Goldman sits at the intersection between government and private industry in America. That's how it makes its money. By using and abusing the laws of the land to line its own pockets. However, apparently, that is not a conversation that Americans can have anymore. Thomas Jefferson would have it – and often did have it both privately and in the presence of others.

American Founding Fathers generally understood (maybe with the exception of Alexander Hamilton) that the best government is the government that governs least. Matt Taibbi, who is a very talented journalist and writer, seems only to understand that government should act as a "boot stamping on the face of Goldman Sachs – forever." (Apologies to George Orwell.) This article appeared in the UK Guardian late April, but given all that is happening on Wall Street these days (and Taibbi's general relevance), an analysis seems fairly timely to us.

One of the problems from our point of view is that even if one grants that government can find the right face to stamp, there is no guarantee that ten years from now government will not be stamping on YOUR face. You may derive a great deal of satisfaction from using the regulatory levers of government to pry triumphant justice – dripping with gore – from the chest cavity of Goldman Sachs, but maybe (just maybe) you are fooling yourself or setting yourself, your family and your country up for an abusive situation. Here's some more from this brilliantly polemical piece:

Will Goldman Sachs prove greed is God? ... The investment bank's cult of self-interest is on trial against the whole idea of civilisation – the collective decision by all of us not to screw each other over even if we can ... So, the world's greatest and smuggest investment bank, has been sued for fraud by the American Securities and Exchange Commission. Legally, the case hangs on a technicality. Morally, however, the Goldman Sachs case may turn into a final referendum on the greed-is-good ethos that conquered America sometime in the 80s – and in the years since has aped other horrifying American trends such as boybands and reality shows in spreading across the western world like a venereal disease.

When Britain and other countries were engulfed in the flood of defaults and derivative losses that emerged from the collapse of the American housing bubble two years ago, few people understood that the crash had its roots in the lunatic greed-centered objectivist religion, fostered back in the 50s and 60s by ponderous emigre novelist Ayn Rand ... Here in the States, her ideas are roundly worshipped even by people who've never read her books or even heard of her. The rightwing "Tea Party" movement is just one example of an entire demographic that has been inspired to mass protest by Rand without even knowing it.

Last summer I wrote a brutally negative article about Goldman Sachs for Rolling Stone magazine (I called the bank a "great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity") that unexpectedly sparked a heated national debate. On one side of the debate were people like me, who believed that Goldman is little better than a criminal enterprise that earns its billions by bilking the market, the government, and even its own clients in a bewildering variety of complex financial scams.

On the other side of the debate were the people who argued Goldman wasn't guilty of anything except being "too smart" and really, really good at making money. This side of the argument was based almost entirely on the Randian belief system, under which the leaders of Goldman Sachs appear not as the cheap swindlers they look like to me, but idealised heroes, the saviours of society.

In the Randian ethos, called objectivism, the only real morality is self-interest, and society is divided into groups who are efficiently self-interested (ie. the rich) and the "parasites" and "moochers" who wish to take their earnings through taxes, which are an unjust use of force in Randian politics. Rand believed government had virtually no natural role in society. She conceded that police were necessary, but was such a fervent believer in laissez-faire capitalism she refused to accept any need for economic regulation – which is a fancy way of saying we only need law enforcement for unsophisticated criminals. Rand's fingerprints are all over the recent Goldman story.

For us, Matt Taibbi (despite his polemics) ends up in such articles being an apologist for the system as it is. He apparently supports the SEC prosecution of Goldman Sachs for various civil crimes as part of what he perceives as elemental fairness. But does Taibbi know what the SEC really is? Has he studied it? Does he understand that Wall Streeters smirk that the SEC is part and parcel of a larger "regulatory capture" by the Street and that many of the SEC's ambitious staffers dream of going to work on Wall Street for fat paychecks. The insanely elaborate regulatory system in America NEVER does what it is supposed to. It is not only dysfunctional but actually organized so as to raise barriers of entry to the securities business. The ONLY thing that SEC prosecution of Goldman will really end up doing is raising more barriers, which will further empower Wall Street's largest banks.

And how can someone as bright as Taibbi not understand that Wall Street itself is a creature of central banking. Without central banks money flows and economic euphorias brought on by the over-printing of money, Wall Street would likely not exist as such an attractive money magnet. Add in regulation, beginning in the 1930s after the great depression, and you have monstrous mish-mash that empowers the powerful, concentrates capital in certain investment entities and generally works to strip Americans of their wealth and hopes once every business cycle (every 10-20 years). The regulatory structure of America, when combined with mercantilist central banking itself, is the prime facilitator of this horrid system.

Taibbi might have a point about Rand if it weren't for the central banking and regulatory structure that surrounds Wall Street and empowers it. Wall Street is actually as far from Rand's idea of independent, laissez-faire self interest as it could possibly be. Every part of Goldman's business is based to one degree or another on federal laws and regulations. We would bet at this point in the history of US "free-markets" that you could not find a SINGLE transaction in which Goldman participates in that does not have some sort of regulatory color.

Taibbi is just like Simon Johnson in our book (see other article, this issue of the Bell) – blasting Wall Street and Goldman in particular without any regard to the larger frame of reference in which Goldman functions. Such analysis at this point in time is beyond naïve in our opinion. It verges on the manipulative. Does Taibbi really believe that the US government retains some sort of collective moral purity that is absent on Wall Street? No, Washington DC and Goldman Sachs are two sides of the same coin.

Because the mainstream media is the way it is, if there is a legal battle between Goldman and the SEC, the mainstream media shall probably partake of some of the positioning that Taibbi has already presented. The young lawyers at the SEC (yearning to work on Wall Street) will be presented as warriors for the aggrieved middle class and the young traders and bankers at Goldman shall be presented as Godless, greedy sociopaths.

Conclusion: Go on YouTube these days and watch videos of American civil and military authorities busting down doors and shooting family mutts while in search of dollar bags of marijuana, or throwing Canadian tourists in jail for not being polite enough when crossing the border, or tasering fans running across baseball fields. Read about the debates in the American congress over additional taxes for Americans and how the IRS is going to be equipped with shotguns, apparently to help with collections. Read about how Homeland Security is targeting American military veterans as potential terrorists, and those who participate in Tea Party protests, too. Go online and try to understand the ramifications and results of America's serial wars in the Mideast – the radiation poisoning from depleted-uranium weapons and the endless civilian killings. We understand that Goldman is a "great vampire squid" but what has the US government become? Taibbi defines civilization as "a collective decision by all of us not to screw each other over even when we can." What mirror is he looking in?

Sunday, April 25, 2010

The Sickening Abuse Of Power At The Heart of Wall Street:


Written by Simon Johnson
April 24, 2010 at 3:02 pm

http://baselinescenario.com/2010/04/24/the-sickening-abuse-of-power-at-the-heart-of-wall-street/

Here’s where we stand with regard to democratic discourse on the future our financial system: leading bankers will not come out to debate the issues in the open (despite being approached by reputable intermediaries after our polite challenge was issued) – sending instead their “astro turf” proxies to spread KGB-type disinformation.

Even Larry Summers, who has shifted publicly onto the side the angels (surprising and rather late, but welcome anyway), cannot – for whatever reason – bring himself to recognize the dangers inherent in our unstable and too-big-to-manage banks. Or perhaps he is just generating excuses that will justify not bringing the Brown-Kaufman amendment to the floor of Senate?

So let’s take it up a notch.

I strongly recommend that the responsible congressional committees request and require all assistant secretaries at the US Treasury (and other relevant political appointees over whom they have jurisdiction) to appear before them early next week.

The question will be simple: Please share your calendar of meetings this weekend, and provide us with a complete accounting of people with whom you met and conversed formally and informally.

The finance ministers and central bank governors of the world are in Washington this weekend for the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund. As is usual, the world’s megabanks are also in town in force, organizing big meetings and small dinners.

Through these meetings dutifully troop US treasury officials, providing in-depth and off-the-record briefings to investors.

Banks such as JP Morgan Chase and the other top tier financial players thus peddle influence, leverage their access, and generally show off. They accumulate information from a host of official contacts and discern which way policymakers – their “good friends” – are leaning.

And what is the megabank whisper mill working on? Ignore the “economic research” papers these banks put out; that is pure pantomime for clients-to-be-duped-later. I’m talking about what they are telling the market – communicated in specific, personal conversations this weekend.

They are telling people that, based on their inside knowledge, Greece and potentially other eurozone countries will default on their debt. Perhaps they are telling the truth and perhaps they are lying. Most likely they are – as always – talking their book.

But the question is not the substance of their whisper campaign this weekend, it is the flow of information. Have they received material non-public information from US government officials? Show me the calendar of the top 10 treasury people involved, and then we can talk about whom to summon from the private sector to testify – under oath – about what they were told or not told.

There is no question that the megabanks derive great power and enormous profit from their web of official contacts. We should reflect carefully on whether such private flows of information between governments and “too big to fail” banks are entirely suitable in today’s unstable financial world.

Large global banks make money, in part, through nontransparent manipulation of information – this is the heart of the SEC charges against Goldman Sachs. But the problem is much broader: the Wall Street-Washington corridor is alive and well on its way to another crisis that will empower, enrich, and embolden insiders (public and private) while impoverishing the rest of us.

The big players on Wall Street are powerful like never before – and they use this power to press for information and favors from sympathetic (or scared) government officials. The big banks also appear hell-bent on abusing that power. One consequence will be further destabilizing global financial markets – watch carefully what happens to Greece, Portugal, Ireland, and Spain at the beginning of next week.

It is time for Congress to step in with a full investigation of the exact flow of information and advice between our major megabanks and key treasury officials. Start by asking tough questions about exactly who exchanged what kind of specific, material, market-moving information with whom this weekend in Washington.

Thursday, April 22, 2010

More News Relating To Goldman Sachs:


Here are a number of articles related to the SEC fraud charges against Goldman Sachs:

Goldman Loses German Bank's Business—Are Bonds Next?

http://www.cnbc.com/id/36694793

Along with SEC, other investigators and suits may target Goldman Sachs:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/04/21/AR2010042105394.html

AIG Considering Potential Claims Against Goldman Sachs:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704671904575195010771947900.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_MIDDLETopStories

Meet The New Goldman Derivatives Business:

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/meet-the-new-goldman-derivatives-business-2010-04-22

Michael Lewis: Must Read Today by Karl Denninger:

http://market-ticker.org/archives/2230-Michael-Lewis-Must-Read-Today.html

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Goldman Suit Exposes Big Banks to Firestorm:


http://news.goldseek.com/RickAckerman/1271829600.php

By: Rick Ackerman
Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Now we learn that the SEC split 3-2 over whether to go after Goldman Sachs in court. Supposedly, the regulatory agency prefers unanimous votes when bringing enforcement actions against the firms it regulates. Why the exception this time? The Wall Street Journal made it sound like it was simply partisan politics that carried the day – i.e., the SEC’s two Republicans voted against suing Goldman for civil fraud, but the three Democrats prevailed. That is superficially what happened, and it is as much of the story as the SEC is willing to divulge right now. But it’s bound to leave many observers, particularly Obama-ites in Congress who are out to pillory the bankers, with the impression that the two Republicans were merely looking out for their fat-cat buddies on Wall Street. This thought occurred to us as well, so we’d have to concede it is at least possible.

But might there have been another reason why the Republicans backed away from bringing formal charges against Goldman? We think there is and that it goes to the heart of the corruption in which the world’s largest banks have inextricably trapped themselves. For if you assert in a of court law that Goldman defrauded its customers, you have implicated every bank in the big leagues. Enabled by their respective central banks, they all – even the ones run by otherwise spotless Swiss Burghers -- play the same Ponzi game. Moreover, regardless of whether the charges brought against Goldman are civil or criminal, they will open the door to an endless flood of litigation with the potential to bring down the entire banking system. From this point forward, Goldman will be fair game for every aggrieved city, county, state, sovereign fund and class of investor they have done business with for the last decade. The same goes for Bank of America, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank et al.

Lynch Mob:

So it’s just possible the Republicans put politics aside when they voted, in effect, to quietly sanction Goldman behind the scenes. It must also have occurred to them that it would ultimately be impossible to mask the overwhelming stench of Goldman’s actions. The firm, after all, did sell an investment to the public that had secretly been created by someone betting on the portfolio to fail. There is no way Goldman can talk its way out of this, although that hasn’t stopped CEO Lloyd Blankfein from trying. With Goldman reporting a spectacular $3.4 billion quarter yesterday, he might as well be trying to explain to a lynch mob that he has never, ever kicked his cat and that he always helps little old ladies cross the street.

Some see the charge of civil, as opposed to criminal, fraud as reflecting a compromise engineered by Mr. Obama to help expedite his takeover of the financial sector. “He stirs up the masses with yet another example of Wall Street greed and fraud,” wrote one contributor to the Rick’s Picks forum, “but offers nothing more than what amounts to a fine to his friends at Goldman. We all know how deep their pockets are. They are quietly happy that this is the extent of the fallout.” While this seems plausible, it doesn’t reckon with the fact that just one civil suit could conceivably put the world’s largest banks in mortal jeopardy for years to come. Indeed, if they should somehow dodge the bullet, it would be evidence that the corruption that permeates the banking system has engulfed our judicial and political systems as well.

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

US Bank Accounting 'Masks True Debt Levels’:


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/7572887/US-bank-accounting-masks-true-debt-levels.html

US bank accounting 'masks true debt levels’

By James Quinn, US Business Editor
Published: 6:00AM BST 10 Apr 2010

Major Wall Street banks are using accounting techniques similar to those utilised by Lehman Brothers in its final days to mask the size of their balance sheets at the end of reporting periods.

The banks – which include Goldman Sachs – use complex but perfectly legitimate transactions in order to present investors and the wider market with a brighter assessment of their financial health.

Data analysed by the Wall Street Journal found that 18 major banks were, on average, able to reduce debt levels used to fund securities tradesby 42pc over the last five quarters using repurchase agreements, also known as “repo” trades. Under certain circumstances, some repurchase trades can be booked as “sales” and used to reduce debt.

The assessment, based on data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, highlights the extent to which advanced accounting is still in use, even in the wake of the crippling financial crisis.

In Lehman’s case, the court-appointed investigator’s report into the bank’s September 2008 downfall found that the bank had used “Repo 105” – the name given to the technique within the bank – to significantly mask its borrowing, so decreasing its apparent risk profile.

According to the report, the ruse allowed Lehman to claim its liabilities were $50bn (£33bn) lower than they actually were by May 2008, just months before the bank collapsed.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is now looking into how widespread the use of such techniques actually is.

At the end of March, the US financial regulator dispatched letters giving America’s24 largest banking and insurance firms two weeks to hand over detailed information on how the repurchase agreements are used, as well as how such agreements are accounted for and disclosed to investors.

It is not known what the SEC intends to do with the data once it has received it, or indeed whether it will ever be made public.

Whatever the outcome, the latest revelations about the extent of the use of repo-financing should worry investors in the financial sector, as it suggests that banks are continuing to take pre-crisis level risks in spite of the events of the last two years.

A Goldman Sachs spokesman said: “Normal fluctuations in the size of our balance sheet… as well as fluctuations in specific line items, are fully disclosed in our quarterly and annual SEC filings.”

Wednesday, April 7, 2010

AIG Gets Away With It:


http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2010/04/aig-gets-away-with-it.html

Posted by Jesse at 10:09 AM
06 April 2010

Do you think the paper shredders and 'delete keys' were working overtime?

Do you think the Justice Department was highly motivated to nail the guy who could probably implicate the biggest of the TBTF banks and their enablers in the government?

Do you think the American President was just playing you when he said, "I did not run for office to be helping out a bunch of fat cat bankers on Wall Street."

Do you think Joe knows where a lot of the bodies are buried - on Wall Street and in London and Washington?

Do you think it pays to be a 'Friend of Lloyd' and a feeder source of campaign contributions to most of the Congress?

Do you think the people are just itching to vote out every incumbent in November?

Do you think the spineless lack of serious investigation and reform is setting the US up again for another, even bigger, fianncial scandal and crisis?

You might be right.

******************************************

No Criminal Charges Likely in AIG Collapse

By Armen Keteyian
CBS News
April 2, 2010 6:43 PM

CBS NEWS has learned that former AIG executive Joseph Cassano - the prime focus of the investigation into its collapse - will meet with Department of Justice attorneys next week in what will likely be an end to the two year criminal investigation into the company.

Sources tell CBS News that the criminal case against Cassano - once called "the Man who Crashed the World" - has "hit a brick wall" - meaning that it is likely no one will be held criminally liable for the downfall of the company that triggered a $182 billion dollar federal bailout.

Sources tell CBS News federal investigators have been unable to uncover any evidence that Cassano lied to his bosses or shareholders about financial problems at AIG.

In recent months, Cassano's lawyers - citing internal documents - argued that he never broke the law. Instead, he simply got caught up in a financial tsunami that engulfed Wall Street.

http://tiny.cc/ynryn

Posted by Jesse April 6, 2010
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2010/04/aig-gets-away-with-it.html

Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Senior SEC Employee Warns of Potential Municipal Bond Market Collapse:


Sunday, April 4, 2010
By Rick Bookstaber

http://rick.bookstaber.com/2010/04/municipal-market.html

This represents my personal opinion, not the views of the SEC or its staff.

My first blog post was in June, 2007. It was titled “What sorts of crises am I worried about now”. My answer was housing and credit. With the benefit of hindsight, this might be considered a no-brainer, although at the time it was not so clear where things would go.

Now as the dust settles from the crisis that emerged in 2008, we can start to think about what might come next. And yes, the crisis really is settling down, despite the alarmists who, thinking we were in a 1930’s style depression, pushed the panic button and stuffed their mattresses (or portfolios) with cash. For whatever reason, be it astute government intervention or the natural healing process, we are looking back at something along the lines of a bad, credit-driven recession.

I don’t think we will see a big crisis emerging for some time in banks, hedge funds or derivatives, mostly because, like with a knockout punch, the risks that matter don’t come from where you are looking. Unless the current push for legislation is a failure, which, of course, still remains to be seen, we will have steely eyes hovering over these sources of crisis. It will be awhile before the guards start dozing off at their posts.

So, where to look next. To see other potential sources of crisis, let’s first recount the lessons learned from this crisis:

1. Problems occur when things get leveraged and complex (and thus opaque).

2. If the problems occur in a very big market, especially in a very big market like housing that is tied to the credit markets, things can go systemic.

3. The notion that you can diversify by holding a geographically broad-based portfolio, (“there has never been a nation-wide housing recession”), works fine – until it doesn’t.

4. A portfolio that is apparently hedged can blow apart. So we have to look at the gross value of positions, even if they are thought to be hedged.

5. Don’t bet on ratings, because rating agencies are conflicted and might not be all too dependable at their job.

6. Defaults are never easy to manage, but it gets worse when there are a lot of them happening at the same time. It is harder to manage the mess, and there is less of a stigma in defaulting. And it is all the worse when, as is the case in the housing markets, those defaulting are not businessmen. As an added complication, with housing the revenue that we thought was there really wasn’t. Income that was supposed to be there to finance the mortgages – even when that income was fairly stated – became committed to other areas (like second mortgages). .

Well, guess where we have a market that is (1) leveraged and opaque, that is (2) very big and tied to the credit markets; and is (3) viewed by investors as being diversifiable by holding a geographically broad-based portfolio; with (4) huge portfolios where assets and liabilities are apparently matched; and with (5) questionable analysis by rating agencies; and where (6) there are many entities, entities that may not approach default with business-like dispatch, and that have already mortgaged sources of revenue that are thought to support their liabilities?

Answer: The municipal market.

Leverage and Opacity. Leverage in the municipal market comes from making future obligations to employees in order to pay them less now. This is borrowing in the form of high pension benefits and post-retirement health care, but borrowing nonetheless. Put another way, in taking lower pay today, the employees have lent money to the municipality, with that money to be repaid via their retirement benefits. The opaqueness comes from the methods of reporting. For example, municipalities are not held to the same standards as corporations in their disclosure.

Size and potential systemic effects. That this is a big market in the credit space goes without saying.

Diversification. Geographic diversification would give a lot more comfort for municipals if it hadn’t just failed for the housing market. Think of why housing breached the regional barriers. It was because similar methods of leveraging were being employed through the country. So the question to ask is: Are there common sorts of strategies being applied in municipalities across the nation?

Gross versus net exposure. The leverage for municipals is not easy to see. It might appear to be lower than it really is because many, including rating agencies, look at the unfunded portion of these liabilities. They ignore the fact that these promised payments are covered using risky portfolios. And not just risky -- the portfolio might apply hefty (a.k.a. unrealistic) actuarial assumptions of asset growth.

Rating agencies. In terms of the work of the rating agencies, here are two questions to ask. First, list the last time they did an on-site exam of the municipalities they are rating. Second, are they looking at the potential mismatch between assets and liabilities, or simply at the net – the under funded portion of the portfolio.

Defaults. Municipalities are not quite as numerous as homeowners, but there certainly are a lot of them. And they have the same issues as homeowners. Granted, they will not pour cement down the toilet before walking away. But they have a potentially equally irrational group – the local taxpayers – to deal with.

Oh, and just as homeowners took their income and locked it up via secondary loans, much of the tax base for municipalities is already mortgaged, through the sale of tax-related revenues streams like tolls and parking fees. Indeed, although general obligation bonds are considered the cream of the crop, they might just as well be regarded as the residual claim after anything with solid fee streams has been sold off.

Once a few municipalities default, there is a risk of a widespread cascade in defaults because the opprobrium will be lessened, all the more so if the defaults are spurred along by a taxpayer revolt – democracy at work.